Volcanic Winter

Absolutely beautiful out this morning:

About 4 here. 27/25 right now.

That’s in feet.

Lightened up considerably here now, very light snow essentially a flurry. However I’m thrilled to see that heavier band pushing north to you guys. Get it! I can share!

Moderate snow with noticeably fatter flakes than Tuesday. Probably will end up in a great spot here for this, 30/28 currently. Good luck up north, I really hope this does better than it looks to be and gets you guys a couple inches+.

It’s coming…

Thank you Walt. Do you have any thoughts on where the NWS is getting their aggressive forecast from? Are they banking on high ratios or expect over performance? They must see something to issue the numbers they did. Just checked again and northeast NJ in the teal section of your map is still showing a forecast of 2-3 inches, as one example. Mainly just curious if you have a read on this. Thanks for your time as always!

Thanks man! Hope so, I’m well west of the Parkway so hopefully avoiding the mix at the immediate coast. We’ll see. Was hoping all of CNJ cashes in to make up for the first N only event. 29/23 here now. Good luck dude!

I saw earlier they expected mixing east of the parkway up to approximately Monmouth / Ocean line. Not sure if that’s still the case as things have shifted around prior to Go time, but I do think you’ll definitely see decent accumulation. Good luck! No flakes here yet to your north, about ten miles inland on the TR / Manchester border.

Yep, I loved this week. I enjoy the cold and need more than just snow followed by immediate warmth. So regardless of relatively tame snow totals, this was such a refreshing week of actual winter for me and it’ll get me through if the remaining season is terrible and warm.

Yeah that’s had me scratching my head. 4-6 inch WSW for me, but nothing is showing that. Must be betting on high ratio snowfall? Idk.

Definite snow-sky vibe. Enjoy guys Home sick with a touch of a stomach bug, so I don’t have anything to do but enjoy the snow tomorrow .

This isn’t to challenge you in any way, I’m just very curious and trying to learn. If it’s not just in MJO activity, what caused / contributed to all the record warmth and consistent back to back warm winters since 2016? What do you think is driving that outside the obvious? Anomalous MJO activity at least sort of gives a partial explanation, you know? But I’m curious if you have any other thoughts.

I have snowpack and will be getting more snow, huge win. IDGAF how much. Good luck guys, this sure beats omega level cutters with 4 QPF rain to Montreal.

I’ll tell ya, I haven’t even pushed past 22 degrees so far today. Got out of work early and the ride down the parkway was beautiful with white all the way down to me. Looking at the sat image @MANDAposted I’m very fortunate because the snowcover just made it to me, any further south looks like whatever fell was wiped out (or not much fell in the first place, I don’t know the stats for what fell south of me). 3 inches down to about 1 and change, but what’s left is an absolute glacier right now. Very nice, actually. Hoping Friday pans out with a couple to a few more inches, but the brief checks on the models today wasn’t yielding much confidence there. I’ll settle for the cold…

My surviving “snowpack”, which I’ll take mind you:

Feels so refreshing! Nothing wakes you up better than a cool winter morning, I live for it. Meanwhile on humid summer mornings I want to promptly about face and divebomb into my ice tray…

15.3 and still dropping, dew below 10 now. Whipped out my heavy down parka for the first time since last Xmas. The beast:

Down to 16, prior season low was 17. Be curious to see if I go any lower before sunrise. Temp plot looks to still be slowly dropping. The snow remaining on my grass has a beautiful crystalline sheen from the cold temps, I love it. I managed to scrape by the protracted rain fest after my three inches fell with at least one remaining inch on the grass. I’ll take it.

Same here, I’m back to 30F.

Thanks for taking the time to answer me, appreciate it! And that’s a shame, was a rather significant slug of precipitation after the changeover. Would’ve been a great all snow event. Thankful though at least for the three inches I managed, with the state of things the past two years I will absolutely take it.

From my nephew in Cockeysville: His first snow there while attending grad school at Towson!

So what happened meteorologically with this that it’s basically raining with temps in the 20’s for many. I’m assuming that means the upper levels are too warm? How did that happen when the storm started off so cold and with lots of cold air in place? Curious and don’t know enough to explain.

Temp started dropping at home, inland TR / Manchester. 34 down to 33. Hillside at 28 with heavy precip, basically freezing rain. Car is glazed.

Really nice DC - BOS light event. Glad it’s working out for you guys, get it!