The latest from LWX:
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Forecast is largely on track this morning as surface low moves
eastward from Tennessee and redevelops along the North Carolina
coastline before moving east-northeastward and out to sea
tonight. At the same time, the upper level trough will close off
this afternoon and track overhead this evening.
Widespread light to moderate snow is being observed this morning
with generally 2-4" already reported across the area as of 3 AM.
Continued light to moderate snow, with occasional heavier
bursts, is expected through today for much of the region as
isentropic lift and upper level forcing persist through the day,
with a couple exceptions. Drier air will work into portions of
northern/western MD and eastern WV after sunrise, and this will
curtail snow amounts/intensity. Additionally, warmer air will
push northward into portions of central VA and southern MD,
introducing sleet/rain/freezing rain to that region heading into
Sunday morning. Between these areas the most significant
amounts are expected to occur. Models are also indicating that a
deformation band may occur again late this afternoon and
evening as the upper level low traverses, and this is currently
progged to occur near the I-95 corridor, with the localized
highest amounts likely where this sets up.
Total snowfall amounts expected to range from 6-10" across the DC
metro area and across much of northern VA, tapering to 4-7" north
towards the PA/MD border where drier air will cut down on amounts,
and 4-8" towards southern MD and central VA near
Spotsylvania/Orange/Albemarle where mixing occurs. In these
areas, a light glaze to up to a tenth of an inch of ice is
also forecast.
Snow will then taper off and end during the overnight hours.
Highs today generally 28-35F, with lows tonight in the 20s.
&&