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TheClimateChanger

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  1. For informational purposes, here are the top 20 5-year snowfalls at MDT:
  2. Assuming less than 3.5 inches falls between now and the end of the month, this is the third lowest 5-year snowfall on record at MDT - behind only the 5-year periods ending on 12/31/1934 & 12/31/1992.
  3. Finally starting to accumulate a bit here. Temp is down to 31.8F.
  4. It looks like snow, but I think it’s ice from the skating rink.
  5. Maybe it's just me, but I'm not overly enthused by little more than a half inch of snowfall modeled over a 10-day period, when the current average single day snowfall is 0.3" and rising.
  6. Up to at least 54 at Milwaukee, which would be good for 3rd warmest (tied) on today's date. Yesterday was also tied for 3rd warmest for that date. Another degree would move today into second place. But look at #1, wow! Crazy two-day torch two years ago.
  7. Meteor shower tonight. I’ve seen two in the last 15 minutes.
  8. I shared this in the Pittsburgh area thread, but figured it would be relevant here as well since there are frequent complaints about the airport readings. I have been seeing a lot of complaints about airport readings everywhere.
  9. Interesting. Has snowfall increased or decreased over that time?
  10. If we just continuously move our temperature measurements to cooler and cooler locations, we can will away the warming. I think suburban Western Chester County looks like an ideal candidate to utilize for the DC/Baltimore metro. When they moved the official Johnstown station from the city to the top of a mountain, it completely eliminated the warming. Are there any mountains near CXY/MDT?
  11. On the plus side, looks like we may have a green Christmas this year instead of the more typical brown.
  12. Averaging by month (which applies the current mean for December), we have a 0.5F cushion over 2016, 2012, 1991 & 1949. That means the final monthly mean could fall off a full 6F [6/12 = 0.5] and we'd still tie those years using monthly averaging. I'm kind of doubting December's mean falls off that much over the next three weeks given the current modeling. Note using daily averaging, 2012, 1991 & 1949 bump up one place with a mean of 54.3F.
  13. Not out of the question that we could surpass 2012 for warmest year on record since the official observation site moved out of the city, and warmest overall in the threaded record since 1931. The odds are certainly increasing.
  14. Still the second warmest December 8 on record, dating back 150 years. You can’t complain about that.
  15. Odds on this being the least snowiest calendar year on record at Central Park? Currently tied for least snowfall to date with 2020. The full year record is 3.4 inches, from 1913.
  16. If this is right, we'd be looking at a top ten least snowy start to winter [through the 21st]. While just one run of one model, it's consistent with earlier runs. This particular run actually has substantially more snowfall elsewhere in the region than earlier runs, but still suggests the Pittsburgh region receives little accumulation.
  17. 17.6" was the final tally last winter, which was the least since 1990-91. Simple probability would suggest that we probably won't see so little this winter. But it certainly is off to another slow start. I am not even seeing any 384-hour model fantasy snowfalls yet.
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