TheClimateChanger
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Everything posted by TheClimateChanger
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
TheClimateChanger replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Wow! 114°F heat index! -
97F at Cleveland. Hottest overall since 2012 (98F), and matches 2012 for hottest by this date in the year since 1988. Toledo topped out at 99F, but it hasn’t been as long since it’s been that hot there. 2024 topped out at 99F & 2022 at 100F. I think Toronto, Ont. reached at least 98F. Bet it’s bet awhile since they’ve seen that temperature.
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Junorch obs and discussion 2026
TheClimateChanger replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Hello darkness, my old friend. -
This looks absolutely insane too. Canada is just dotted with fires seemingly from the Rockies all the way to the Atlantic Coast. What the heck is even burning up near the Arctic Circle? Nuts.
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I'm tracking some of this smoke, but haven't seen much note of it... however, if the HRRR is correct, it could get pretty nasty over parts of the region - including potentially the Twin Cities. Wonder if this might keep high temperatures in check tomorrow?
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
TheClimateChanger replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Incredible stuff. This month will mark 17 months since the last month below the 20th century mean for the CONUS, and 16 months since the last month below the 1991-2020 mean. -
Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
TheClimateChanger replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
Ah yes, the famous 1919 heat wave where Orlando had 2 weeks more 90F days than anywhere else. The same year where Pensacola registered 4 days at or above 90F, Miami recorded 6 - yes 6, and Key West a paltry 21. These numbers are unthinkable today. Did you ever stop to think that perhaps century-old local observations, with questionable exposure, rooftop siting, nonstandard instruments, observer changes, missing data, and who knows what else, should not be treated as sacred, apples-to-apples climate records? Or do you just repeat the one raw number that flatters your narrative while ignoring the rest of the statewide data screaming that something may be off? -
Junorch obs and discussion 2026
TheClimateChanger replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
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Pittsburgh PA Summer 2026 Thread
TheClimateChanger replied to TheClimateChanger's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Note: They also reported a third yesterday, so that's up to at least 5 from this system. Coupled with the 6 earlier in the month, that's a pretty hefty number. Fortunately, nothing too strong. -
Especially impressive for daytime highs with several locations having a record hot first 2 weeks of June, including Islip and Newark. Looks like a little break coming in, but I do not think we are done with heat. Personally, I think these summer cancel calls are way too early.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
TheClimateChanger replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Just a heads-up, as I’ve seen this chart making the rounds: -
Arctic Sea Ice Extent, Area, and Volume
TheClimateChanger replied to ORH_wxman's topic in Climate Change
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Junorch obs and discussion 2026
TheClimateChanger replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
I meant for an entire summer month. -
Junorch obs and discussion 2026
TheClimateChanger replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Can you imagine if we ran a full month of +9F? Wow! -
Junorch obs and discussion 2026
TheClimateChanger replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
This doesn't strike me as anything too cold. About time for a little cooldown after this epic torch of a start to summer. Look at these forecast departures & percentiles for average daily high temps for the 1st half of June - unbelievable! -
Looking at Newark and using the expanded records [back to 1843], we see the current record is 86.5F from 2008 & 1984 [excepting the 3 higher years - all of which are based on only a single date's worth of data]. This brings the EWR average up to 86.6F by Monday - incredibly impressive.
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Incredible @bluewave! Was it supposed to be this hot? Just an incredible start to summer for the summer lovers. This shows the projected ranks for average high temperatures for the first half of June [using observed values for 1-11 and forecast highs 12-15]. Top 5 heat all over, record heat at Newark, NJ and Concord, NH. It has certainly been a very solid start to the summer season.
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Junorch obs and discussion 2026
TheClimateChanger replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
This is what IEM has for mean hourly dewpoint in the summertime for BOS. -
Junorch obs and discussion 2026
TheClimateChanger replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
For a certain segment of weather troll community, 95F and 70F dews is "just summer" and actual "just summer" weather is hyped up as the next coming of the year without a summer. -
Junorch obs and discussion 2026
TheClimateChanger replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Air conditioning makes a big difference too. We didn't have it back then and it was tough but bearable. You couldn't do that today in most places. -
So absurd, most places have seen mean high temps in/near top 10 warmest on record for first decade of June. Philadelphia - 5th warmest; Providence, RI - 3rd warmest; Newark, NJ - 9th warmest. But Central Park is at 36th warmest. Closest analog is Worcester, MA at 23rd warmest, but their station thread includes decades from a station hundreds of feet lower in elevation.
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Junorch obs and discussion 2026
TheClimateChanger replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
It has certainly been a solid first decade of June for summer weather lovers in the northeast IMHO. Many places are in the top 10 for mean maximum temperature - including Caribou, ME (5th), Concord, NH (4th), Providence, RI (T-3rd), and numerous other sites around the region. Would expect these to trend even higher. Was it supposed to be cold or something? -
Pittsburgh PA Summer 2026 Thread
TheClimateChanger replied to TheClimateChanger's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Six confirmed tornados! NOUS41 KPBZ 092121 PNSPBZ PAZ029-073>076-100930- PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 521 PM EDT Tue Jun 9 2026 ...NWS Damage Survey Summary for June 6th Tornado Event - Update #2... .Update...CORRECTED Overview Section .Overview... As of this writing, a total of six tornadoes have been confirmed to have occurred during the afternoon of June 6th. All of these tornadoes occurred as mesovortices embedded in a larger squall line. Areas of straight-line wind damage also occurred in other portions of the squall line that were not tornadic. Three tornadoes impacted Washington County during this event. These are the 16th, 17th, and 18th tornadoes to impact the county since 1950. These are the first tornadoes in the county since May 21, 2025, when two tornadoes occurred. Three tornadoes also impacted Fayette County during this event. These are the 15th, 16th, and 17th tornadoes to impact the county since 1950. These are the first tornadoes in the county since March 16, 2025, when two tornadoes occurred. One tornado, which started in Fayette County, crossed into Westmoreland County. This is the 35th tornado to impact the county since 1950. This is the first tornado in the county since March 16th, 2025, when two tornadoes occurred. .Beallsville Tornado... Rating: EF1 Estimated Peak Wind: 95 mph Path Length /statute/: 1.24 miles Path Width /maximum/: 250 yards Fatalities: 0 Injuries: 0 Start Date: 06/06/2026 Start Time: 02:38 PM EDT Start Location: 2 SW Beallsville / Washington County / PA Start Lat/Lon: 40.0407 / -80.0708 End Date: 06/06/2026 End Time: 02:40 PM EDT End Location: 1 SSW Beallsville / Washington County / PA End Lat/Lon: 40.0448 / -80.0489 Survey Summary: On June 6th, a brief EF-1 tornado occurred just southwest of Beallsville, originating from a meso-vortex within a broad line of storms that impacted the region. Initial damage, consisting of several large snapped branches and uprooted trees, was observed along Kefover Road. A farm on Glendon Lane became a primary area of focus after a barn was partially destroyed, with debris scattered northeastward across a field and onto a neighboring property; the fact that this debris was lofted to the left of the storm's general path served as an indicator of rotation. This location also saw a line of trees uprooted at a valley base and several pines snapped mid-trunk, though the residence sustained only minor porch damage. As the storm moved eastward up the hillside, it left sporadic tree damage in its wake before causing further concentrated destruction along Martindale Road, where numerous trees were snapped or uprooted at a farm and adjacent site. .Ellsworth Tornado... Rating: EF1 Estimated Peak Wind: 110 mph Path Length /statute/: 7.28 miles Path Width /maximum/: 400 yards Fatalities: 0 Injuries: 0 Start Date: 06/06/2026 Start Time: 02:40 PM EDT Start Location: Cokeburg / Washington County / PA Start Lat/Lon: 40.0971 / -80.0673 End Date: 06/06/2026 End Time: 02:49 PM EDT End Location: 2 SW Twilight / Washington County / PA End Lat/Lon: 40.0998 / -79.9299 Survey Summary: On the afternoon of June 6, 2026, an EF1 tornado, generated within a squall line, tracked just over 7 miles eastward across Washington County, PA. The tornado first formed near Cokeburg, snapping large pine trees between Route 917 and Washington Street. After a brief lift, it reformed two miles east near Ellsworth, along Beallsville Road and Cherry Street. This segment recorded the highest intensity, with maximum wind gusts of 110 mph. Damage included the snapping of approximately 50 hardwood trees and partial roof damage to one home on Cherry Street from a falling tree. The tornado continued its path, primarily snapping or uprooting hardwood trees as it crossed Deems Park Road, Woodland Road, Locust Road, Scenic Drive, California Drive, and Deer Run Lane, before finally dissipating at Cross Ridge Road. The National Weather Service would like to thank the Washington County Department of Public Safety for their assistance with this survey. .Centerville Tornado... Rating: EF1 Estimated Peak Wind: 95 mph Path Length /statute/: 0.56 miles Path Width /maximum/: 350 yards Fatalities: 0 Injuries: 0 Start Date: 06/06/2026 Start Time: 02:45 PM EDT Start Location: 1 E Centerville / Washington County / PA Start Lat/Lon: 40.0296 / -79.9433 End Date: 06/06/2026 End Time: 02:47 PM EDT End Location: 1 ENE Centerville / Washington County / PA End Lat/Lon: 40.0319 / -79.9333 Survey Summary: A strong line of storms with embedded mesovortices moved across Washington county on June 6th. As the storm was approaching Centerville, the vortex tightened as noted on radar. This coincides with a swath of damage to trees from just west of Conti Road to Spring Road, with nearly 200 trees down around the National Pike Steam Show property. Trees were both snapped and uprooted, indicative of 95-100mph wind. While sporadic damage was noted east of that location in the county, this was more likely due to the surge in the line as the meso vortex weakened. .Linn Tornado... Rating: EF1 Estimated Peak Wind: 100 mph Path Length /statute/: 0.43 miles Path Width /maximum/: 75 yards Fatalities: 0 Injuries: 0 Start Date: 06/06/2026 Start Time: 02:50 PM EDT Start Location: 2 ENE Brownsville / Fayette County / PA Start Lat/Lon: 40.0257 / -79.8613 End Date: 06/06/2026 End Time: 02:51 PM EDT End Location: 2 ENE Brownsville / Fayette County / PA End Lat/Lon: 40.0258 / -79.8533 Survey Summary: A strong line of storms crossed over the Monongahela River at around 2:49pm on June 6th. An embedded meso-vortex developed in the line with tightening rotation around 2:50pm, when the tornado is estimated to have touched down in Linn near Railroad Avenue. Time was estimated from radar. The strongest winds accelerated on the southern end of the vortex as it moved downhill into Redstone Creek Valley. Winds on the southern end of the vortex and northern end of the rear flank downdraft were the strongest, estimated at 100mph with a large amount of small hardwood trees down. The strongest winds were along Braznell Concrete Road, just northeast of its intersection with Taylor Flats Road. Some shingle damage was noted on a home before it ended. The vortex collapsed, along with a weakening of the rear flank downdraft push around 2:51pm after crossing Braznell Concrete Road one more time. The National Weather Service would like to thank Fayette County Emergency Management for their assistance with this survey. .Virgin Run Tornado... Rating: EF1 Estimated Peak Wind: 90 mph Path Length /statute/: 5.11 miles Path Width /maximum/: 100 yards Fatalities: 0 Injuries: 0 Start Date: 06/06/2026 Start Time: 02:57 PM EDT Start Location: 2 S Perryopolis / Fayette County / PA Start Lat/Lon: 40.0562 / -79.7553 End Date: 06/06/2026 End Time: 03:02 PM EDT End Location: Vanderbilt / Fayette County / PA End Lat/Lon: 40.0385 / -79.6627 Survey Summary: A strong line of storms entered northern Fayette County, crossing Route 51 at around 2:56pm on June 6th. At the same time, it was evident that an embedded meso-vortex developed based on radar; this rotation extended to the surface resulting in an estimated tornado touchdown near Reservoir Road just east-southeast of Star Junction at 2:57pm. Time was estimated from radar. Damage continued, coincident with the vortex, and just south of the vortex for around 5.1 miles. Damage was sporadic at times, the tornado may have lifted and re-formed multiple times. Most damage was hardwood trees uprooted along Maplewood Road, Virgin Run Road, and Dickerson Run Road. The strongest wind was estimated at 90mph along Maplewood Road, just west of its intersection with Virgin Run Road where multiple hardwood trees were down with shingle damage to a home at around 2:58pm. The tornado continued, crossing the ridgetop just west of Dickerson Run road where drone footage shows a narrow swath of convergent tree damage, before the vortex continued across multiple fields, ending near Cemetery Road just north of Vanderbilt at 3:02pm. The National Weather Service would like to thank Fayette County Emergency Management for their assistance with this survey. .Jacobs Creek Tornado... Rating: EF1 Estimated Peak Wind: 107 mph Path Length /statute/: 5.20 miles Path Width /maximum/: 400 yards Fatalities: 0 Injuries: 0 Start Date: 06/06/2026 Start Time: 03:00 PM EDT Start Location: 2 N Perryopolis / Fayette County / PA Start Lat/Lon: 40.1101 / -79.7424 End Date: 06/06/2026 End Time: 03:05 PM EDT End Location: 3 WNW Scottdale / Westmoreland County / PA End Lat/Lon: 40.1232 / -79.6457 Survey Summary: A brief EF1 tornado struck the northern border of Fayette County, Pennsylvania, on the afternoon of June 6, 2026, originating within a squall line. The tornado was active for four to five minutes, starting its track between Banning and Layton in Fayette County. Following a path that included Banning Road, Cross Road, and Boy Scout Road, the tornado's wind gusts, which peaked between 95 and 110 mph, snapped and uprooted numerous large hardwood trees. The damage extended to remote locations, as aerial video provided by the South Huntington Township volunteer fire department later confirmed. The tornado dissipated in southern Westmoreland County where Meadow Run Road and Epsey Road meet. The National Weather Service would like to thank Fayette County Emergency Management, the Westmoreland County Department of Public Safety, and the East Huntingdon Emergency Management Coordinator for their assistance with this survey. && EF Scale: The Enhanced Fujita Scale classifies tornadoes into the following categories: EF0.....65 to 85 mph EF1.....86 to 110 mph EF2.....111 to 135 mph EF3.....136 to 165 mph EF4.....166 to 200 mph EF5.....>200 mph NOTE: The information in this statement is preliminary and subject to change pending final review of the events and publication in NWS Storm Data. $$
