TheClimateChanger

Lake Effect snow showers and flurries remain ongoing around the Great Lakes. Yesterday’s snowfall of 1.8” at Rochester matched the second latest first measurable snowfall on record at that location.

Something looks off with those Kalamazoo numbers.

I was hoping for a little snow on Saturday as well. Recent model runs had the system well north of us though.

Looks very likely that 2024 will go into the books as the warmest year on record. December would have to average somewhere in the range of 24-24.5F, or more than 9F below normal, for that not to be the case. The only real question is the margin of victory. A cold December isn’t enough to prevent a record. It would need to be among the coldest of record to not break the record - which would be a massive change from the blowtorch of the first 11 months.

No problem, Don. Also, of note, the 22.6" officially recorded at ERI yesterday was just 2.2" shy of the entire seasonal total from last winter... which, incidentally, was the 4th lowest of record. The graphic below shows it as 6th; however, there is missing data for the winters of 1942-43 & 1943-44. If you cross-check the missing days from the climate reports using NCEI IPS, you'll see the seasonal total was over 48 inches in 1943-1944 and over 40 inches the preceding winter. The missing count for 1918-1919 & 1897-1898 appears just to correspond to months where no snow fell. No snowfall data was reported, which was interpreted as "missing" by the algorithm. And, of course, this ignores changes in snowfall measurement procedure which likely make the earlier data lower than it would otherwise be if the procedures were the same as today.

Nobody uses BlueSky. Garbage X knockoff app.

Highest amount [as of 7 pm yesterday] was 32.1" 2 miles ESE of North East, Pennsylvania, with another report of 30.2" from Girard, Pennsylvania shortly after 6 pm. No doubt well over three feet totals since that time.

22.6" officially yesterday, nearly matching the total snowfall of 24.8" from last winter. In fact, with the snowfall this morning, it's probably already gone over last winter's total. Unofficially, up to 30 inches in some places in northwest Pennsylvania yesterday.

Have you guys encountered this new scam in Pennsylvania? I've seen a lot of discussion on Reddit about it. I know Columbia Gas has been doing it for some time, as has Philadelphia Gas Company. Now People's Gas is doing the same. It's called "weather normalization adjustment" and they tack it onto your gas bill. In theory, it's supposed to provide more standard billing and it's marketed as "revenue neutral." But I went back and looked at my bills back to 2002, and it looks like it's always additive - sometimes quite large. Even in December 2022, when there was a huge cold snap at Christmas, they still tacked on an extra charge. It doesn't even make sense. Supposedly, it'll charge you when less gas is being used due to warm weather. But I went back and compared and some months they said were warmer and I should have used less gas, I used the same or more gas. How am I being assessed a charge because their formula says I used less gas when I actually didn't use less gas? Doesn't make sense. Normally distributed data should have an equal amount above and below. Whatever they are claiming is normal weather is clearly bogus. Looks like a cash grab for the utilities. I see PGW used this scam in May 2022, yes, in May, to charge people huge sums for a month when nobody uses gas anyways. They ended up refunding it that time. Unreal.

True, although, in this case, with a random public report from the monument, I suspect it was measured the “old-fashioned” way by just sticking a yard stick in the snow after it stopped.

Modern snowfall records from the public need an asterisk since they are compared to historic records taken at fixed climate sites, but now can come from literally anywhere - in this case, the highest spot in the state. How much snow fell at 1800’ in the 1938 storm, if 17.5” was observed in a city at 558’ elevation?

You don't need to tell me math is not your forte. Actually, you were 1055.6% of normal that year. 9.5/0.9 = 10.556. And 1055.6% of your normal of 45 inches is 475 inches, not 53,460 inches. You're only off by a couple of orders of magnitude. That would be 1188 times your normal snowfall or 118,800% of normal.

"Cold" patterns. Detroit is currently 7.2F above normal for the month. Seasonal snowfall stands at 11 percent of normal, while Flint and Saginaw are at 0 percent of normal. For the year today, it has been the hottest year on record in Detroit history, nearly a half degree warmer than 2012. And, god forbid, if City Airport was still the official observation site, wow!

Wow, quite fascinating. A new oscillation being driven by sea ice loss. Do they have any idea what impacts this new oscillation will have on regional and/or global climate?

Possibly two tornados with radar confirmation (CC) on ground.

Tornado Warning PAC003-129-202230- /O.NEW.KPBZ.TO.W.0037.241120T2159Z-241120T2230Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 459 PM EST Wed Nov 20 2024 The National Weather Service in Pittsburgh has issued a * Tornado Warning for... East Central Allegheny County in southwestern Pennsylvania... Northwestern Westmoreland County in southwestern Pennsylvania... * Until 530 PM EST. * At 459 PM EST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located over Aspinwall, or near Penn Hills, moving east at 40 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * Locations impacted include... Pittsburgh, Penn Hills, Monroeville, Apollo, Shaler Township, Plum, Murrysville, Wilkinsburg, New Kensington, Lower Burrell, O`hara Township, Oakmont, Fox Chapel, Etna, Sharpsburg, Springdale, Churchill, Aspinwall, Verona and Blawnox. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a well-built building away from windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. && LAT...LON 4056 7977 4059 7956 4058 7957 4056 7956 4055 7954 4054 7953 4054 7951 4044 7948 4045 7996 4053 7997 TIME...MOT...LOC 2158Z 264DEG 35KT 4049 7992 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN $$ MLB

58 mph wind gust at KPIT.