SolidIcewx

East of I69 looks to be the hotspot especially just across the border. I’m hoping for some good ones to roll through. If supercells do form I’m going to go out. Right in the heart of it where I’m staying

Looking toasty end of next week will see if wide spread upper 90s and low 100s happen according to the euro at least. Possible ring of fire set up right across MI. A bit far away still but we shall see

I wish I could show my 4K pro raw photos of it. You are right it did look like mars here in Lima

Love how it went from 100% chance of storms at 8am to now it’s 20%

Very Smokey morning drive back to Ohio. Lots of surface level smoke here where I am. But still better than it was in late June

As long as it is not as bad as it was a few weeks back

Holy shit that’s crazy. If there was more juice in the atmosphere it could have been a different story. Just now back home for the weekend if only I was a few hours earlier

My view of the storm from where I’m at. Hella tall

If I was not in Lima I’d be going after it. Would have blasted down 275 to get ahead of it

DTW area I think dodged a bullet. A little better atmosphere dynamic and those storms would have taken off

Cell in Wayne county looking pretty supercellular now. Wish I was home to see it. Hopefully it don’t tighten up anymore or the metro is in some trouble

National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 230 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023 .DISCUSSION... Moderate instability has built up, with 18z SPC mesoscale analysis indicating 1500 J/kg of MLcape and 2500+ J/kg. Jet streak/40+ knots of 0-6 KM bulk shear aligned over/around I-94 corridor, presenting the elevated concern for severe storms, as the Lake Michigan shadow push has begun and some activity is attempting to go up. Will need to be leery of the backed flow near Lake Erie to increase low level shear and lead to potential rotation. Some enhanced low level convergence and enough 0-1 km bulk shear (up to 15 knots) over the Thumb region to allow for rotation and more organized activity as well, with possible tornadoes indicated. Once the scattered strong-severe storms/surface based activity dwindles early this evening, still a muddled forecast for tonight into Saturday, as 12z hires solutions are all over the place with convection, or lack there of if you believe certain solutions. Unfortunately, with the amount of upper level shortwaves seen on the water vapory imagery tracking through northern Plains/Midwest, it is not surprising and difficult to latch on to the main/dominant player as we work through the diurnal cycle. Ultimately, with moderate southwest low level winds and solid negative showalter index values persisting, will lean toward the redevelopment of convection tonight within the backdrop of upper level ridge building into between the Central/Eastern Great Lakes region toward Saturday morning, as shortwave energy/lead PV advection tracks in from the western Ohio Valley. With 700 MB dew pts rising into the low-mid single numbers, excessive/heavy rainfall becomes an increasing concern as we head into Saturday as well. 12z Regional GEM seems to have the general flavor of the forecast for tonight and tomorrow. With the morning shower/thunderstorm activity slow to exit, anticipating afternoon instability to be low, with mlcapes generally under 1000 J/kg, which is a good thing as wind shear appears to be moderate, with 35+ knots of 0-6 km bulk shear to work with. Day 2 out of SPC has dropped the marginal risk of severe storms for bulk of southeast Michigan, which is fine as long as that morning activity verifies.

Rotation in southern Livingston county. Going towards not far from where I live

What the hell is going on in the thumb?? Hour ago nothing and no watch

Good news is that rain is going into Quebec so hopefully will help with the fires out there

Getting saucy

Pretty sure your under that Nader watch right? Going to be interesting for y’all tonight. If I didn’t work early I’d blast the 120 miles home

Tornado watch for southern Michigan

Let’s see if anything happens in N Indiana and SW Michigan

That was a hell of a storm. Very loud too from what I remember

@frostfernyou look to be in for a soaker soon

Classic hook

Twin tornados by Elgin Illinois