MJO812

Eps has more chances

You are lucking out Last week and now this week

Upton already all in for down here Upton all in Given the supply of low level cold air and unlikelihood of warmer air intruding aloft, this event looks to be all snow for just about the entire region, except maybe the south shore of eastern Long Island for a time. Too early to get into the mesoscale details here, but confidence in significant snowfall amounts over 6 inches continues to increase, with potential for over a foot of snow in areas that experience the best mesoscale lift and snow growth NW of the low track. NE winds should also be quite strong along the coast due to the pressure gradient between the strong high to the north and the developing low, as high as 25-35 mph with gusts up to to 45 mph, causing considerable blowing and drifting of snow and at least near blizzard conditions. Still some question how quickly the low will pull out on Thu, with the ECMWF lagging a little behind the GFS, so steady snow still likely in the morning, then gradually tapering off from W to E through the day. Fair and cold Thu night into Sat with high pressure returning, then some moderation possible with an approaching frontal system. Too early to get into precip type details with this system, just calling it mainly rain/snow at this juncture

Once again

He also trolled us in Dec 2010 when the Euro lost the Boxing Day storm.

30 inches here

Time to break out the SREF. It has been a while.

I'm on break tracking the models. I already warned my co workers about a possible snowstorm.

Haven't checked them in years but I will post the 15z when they come out.

Playing with his hose

I was tracking the 2016 blizzard in Atlantic city. I pulled over to a rest stop to check the serfs and it was showing 2 inches of liquid for NYC. That was the start of a north trend .

Ukie went from 2 inches to 20 inches for Albany in one run Wtf

Ukie is really tucked like the Euro

Hi

For my fellow weenies

Even though the surface is south , h5 went north.

I love SNE

Gfs is too flat Euro is too amped

Very cold also

Gfs is even further south than 6z. Great spot for our area but I'm more worried about a whiff given the blocking up north.

Gfs isn't caving this run

You mean the Euro will cave

I dont have access to those