MJO812

DT "**ALERT** RETURN OF WINTER EASTERN US AFTER DEC 30 INCREASINGLY LIKELY /3 Good chance Low develops on the front-- this could set the stage for Moderate snow from DC/ BAL to NYC in the DEC 31- JAN 1 time frame"

Eps further north also

You are worse than I am

He hasn't been good lately

All of you better take a lot of pics

Enjoy guys

Crippling snow on the way Enjoy

Jinx

Enjoy man I didn't know you moved down south

This is a rare event for the south. Are all of you prepared for a big snow event ?

LOL

You shouldn't congrats anyone a few days out. Anyway, this looks good for the south as of right now. I hope we all cash in up and down the coast.

Still a long way to go Hopefully we all cash in

Congrats D.C? https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2018/10/29/forecasters-private-sector-strongly-favor-snowy-winter-washington/

Larry Cogrove "The turn to colder air over much of the U.S. in this past week is really only the start of some major weather changes. Because as we approach Halloween, the threat for a large scale major storm and follow-up cold spell will be increasing. A prominent Kelvin wave is solidifying over the westernmost Pacific Ocean above Indonesia. As the Madden-Julian Oscillation is expanding eastward, this impulse may link with the polar westerlies (see shortwaves in the PRC and east of Japan), and start the process of amplifying the jet stream with a ridge over Alaska and western/northern Canada. That action would force digging of a 500MB shortwave into the lower Great Plains around Oct 25. Now this is the important part! At the same time that cold air drainage and central U.S. disturbance is taking shape, the tropical Atlantic Basin may supply a warm-core impulse or moisture fetch into the Gulf of Mexico. There are two viable candidates for warm-core cyclogenesis (Caribbean Sea and Lesser Antilles), and one or both of these systems could get drawn into the deepening extratropical storm as it approaches Appalachia and the Eastern Seaboard Oct 27-29."

A tropical system will come up the coast

All the models show the remnants still hanging out near the coast.

Models try to look Florence back tot be coast after it goes off the coast this week.

Quickly loses its strength It also doesn't stall for a long time

Hurricane Josh quit chasing this storm

The saving grace will be if the storm stalls just offshore and weakens as it moves southwest.

It's amazing how the models are still up in the air where the storm will stall. Hope it stalls offshore

My friend just moved to Robersonville a few years ago. She just bought a generator yesterday. I told her to evacuate but she is going to stay put.

Nice man I got 30 inches with the Jan 2016 blizzard. It was great.

JB seems worried that the thaw might not work out for him and the MJO might be going back to 1. He also sees some snow events this month.