MJO812

Still a long way to go Hopefully we all cash in

Congrats D.C? https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2018/10/29/forecasters-private-sector-strongly-favor-snowy-winter-washington/

Larry Cogrove "The turn to colder air over much of the U.S. in this past week is really only the start of some major weather changes. Because as we approach Halloween, the threat for a large scale major storm and follow-up cold spell will be increasing. A prominent Kelvin wave is solidifying over the westernmost Pacific Ocean above Indonesia. As the Madden-Julian Oscillation is expanding eastward, this impulse may link with the polar westerlies (see shortwaves in the PRC and east of Japan), and start the process of amplifying the jet stream with a ridge over Alaska and western/northern Canada. That action would force digging of a 500MB shortwave into the lower Great Plains around Oct 25. Now this is the important part! At the same time that cold air drainage and central U.S. disturbance is taking shape, the tropical Atlantic Basin may supply a warm-core impulse or moisture fetch into the Gulf of Mexico. There are two viable candidates for warm-core cyclogenesis (Caribbean Sea and Lesser Antilles), and one or both of these systems could get drawn into the deepening extratropical storm as it approaches Appalachia and the Eastern Seaboard Oct 27-29."

A tropical system will come up the coast

All the models show the remnants still hanging out near the coast.

Models try to look Florence back tot be coast after it goes off the coast this week.

Quickly loses its strength It also doesn't stall for a long time

Hurricane Josh quit chasing this storm

The saving grace will be if the storm stalls just offshore and weakens as it moves southwest.

It's amazing how the models are still up in the air where the storm will stall. Hope it stalls offshore

My friend just moved to Robersonville a few years ago. She just bought a generator yesterday. I told her to evacuate but she is going to stay put.

Nice man I got 30 inches with the Jan 2016 blizzard. It was great.

JB seems worried that the thaw might not work out for him and the MJO might be going back to 1. He also sees some snow events this month.

JB Ftw

456pm

I thought I was seeing things when my tree started to shake.

I felt it

Snowman19 is such a weenie

That is way too much for 1 person to eat There are no small dishes in this place.

I went to Harolds New York Deli last night in New Jersey with my family. The plates are huge I shared this with 2 other people

I think we all see snow by the end of November

October 29 ,2011 Snowstorm October 29 , 2012 Sandy October 29 ,2017 ?

Thank god that's the long range

Ukie would also show a phase