MJO812

18z rgem is 8-10 here for NYC

New HRRR has 8-12 for NYC

Light snow in south Brooklyn. 

Upton also has 6-8 inches for all of LI

Upton  snowmap

6-8 inches for the NYC metro area

10 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

The models have the surface right at 32 degrees (barely) up here in Rockland County for tonight at the coldest. This is going to be heavy wet paste. Typical for a March storm

I agree

This is going to be a heavy wet snowstorm.

Euro is slightly warmer

4-8 for the coast

Just now, snowman19 said:

Friday night/Saturday is the last shot at snow if it even happens, very sketchy right now and it appears to be real minor. The pattern starts flipping Saturday 

Mid March more likely

Just now, weatherlogix said:

Ehhh, looks like it's showing a More northerly push

Just now, weatherlogix said:

Ehhh, looks like it's showing a More northerly push

HRRR can be erratic before a storm

HRRR still showing 6-10 inches for the City

Just now, EastonSN+ said:

Thanks again. Hopefully we can squeeze out one more storm next weekend while the cold air is in place.

I will be in Port St Lucie next weekend . Hopefully I dont miss anything.

HRDPS also has 6-10 for the area

GFS has all rain for the coast while the Para has 4-6 inches for the coast and CMC has several inches also.

30 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said:

Seems about right in my book.

6-10 inches

The warmer pattern that was progged to occur might be delayed.

MJO is going into 3 and then into the COD on the Euro and GFS

PNA will be also rising to positive.

We  might have 1 more snow threat left in this pattern

1 minute ago, psv88 said:

Focus on the dew point not the 2m temp. Right now dews are mid to upper 20s area wide. This is good. 

High clouds are filtering in.

Good sign

2 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said:

Doesn't make any sense for a 10:1 map considering QPF should be 8-10" 

Temps are going to be iffy on the south shore. This storm is going to be close to an all snow event. We also have to see where the heavier bands will set up.

3k Nam has also 5-8 inches for the metro area

Nam is 4-6 for the NYC area with more to the north and west.

5 minutes ago, wdrag said:

For what it's worth...BANDING signal continues...looks pretty big to me from se NYS through CT to near BOS.  That means .6" of liquid could easily be 10" instead of a 10-1 6".  Also,  roads will not have quite as much due to initial 1-3 hours of melting.  Also...with 6" or more falling in a 32-33F  environment near I95, I could easily see power outages...especially ne corner NJ into srn CT.  We'll see if the snow materializes as now predicted.  Confidence is that it will but jury, as always, still out deliberating. 

Gfs and Nam aren't hitting at any banding signatures like the Rgem, HRDPS and Euro are.

13 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

Does it taint at all?

5 minutes ago, Doorman said:

Be careful what you hug...

I don't see six on here in the metro... enjoy the fast melt of March my hardcore weenies

No one is hugging anything

 That seems too low

3 minutes ago, ILoveWinter said:

The NAM is the driest model, best to take a blend

Agree

1 minute ago, NJwx85 said:

4-6” in the city, 3-5” in immediate SE burbs, 2-4” South and East of there. 5-8” for interior NNJ and Lower Hudson Valley except 4-6” in Westchester. 3-6” in far NW sections.

Good call

6z Euro still has 6-10 for the coast and surrounding areas.

Another storm chance next weekend 

?

6z HRDPS

6z HRDPS