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Everything posted by MJO812
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CMC turns the coast ( NYC and Philly) to sleet but then changes quickly back to heavy snow.
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This is going to be a huge storm. Gfs is really spoty with precip.
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- heavy snow
- ice pellets
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I rather be in SNE when it comes to Miller Bs
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There were a few storms which turned to showers in the middle of the storm during a lull ( feb 2010 retrogade storm, Jan 2011 ( end of the month )
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- heavy snow
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Miller Bs tend to slip east as we get closer. Philly usually does a little worse than my area in NYC with these systems but I think we will all do well. Hopefully the models start consolidating the low more.
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6-12 is a good bet for alot of people which is awesome. Whoever is in the banding will get more. Pattern looks good after the cutter
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Uh ? After the cutter , we will get rolling again.
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January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
MJO812 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
Nothing warm at all A brief warmup is expected with a cutter system. It gets cold behind the cutter. Gfs shows it and also EPS -
January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
MJO812 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
Where ? Eps doesn't show a big warmup -
6z gfs
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Very long duration from Sunday night through Tuesday night . Low stalls out east of SNJ for over 20 hours.
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Watching closely .. February 1-3rd for moderate to major coastal event
MJO812 replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Crush job got eastern SNE -
Euro is also too close for us because itd a broad low pressure. Need it to tighten up. Still some timing differences between the Euro and the other models. Euro has this starting mostly on Monday while others have it on Sunday. Op runs should be used 2-3 days out
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Still go with the ensembles this far out which is alot better for our area. Seeing them 6+ is amazing.
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