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MJO812

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Everything posted by MJO812

  1. The MJO has to be messing with the models
  2. Models keep digging the trough in the west. It's going to be hard to get snow in the east with that even with a negative NAO. Hopefully the models are wrong and they show colder outcomes in future runs.
  3. We don't really get any snow here until Christmas .
  4. Maybe in January if the Pacific improves Winter didn't even start yet
  5. Snowy gfs run for Christmas for SNE. CMC also has a storm along with the euro but it's further north. The NAO will be negative . I wouldn't be shocked to see that storm shift south but if it doesn't, the pattern gets better afterwards.
  6. The stall in the MJO in 7 is going to help us during the coldest part of the year.
  7. Hard to get a phase with a negative PNA.
  8. How come snowman didn't post this ?
  9. Mjo on the euro is now starting to move towards 8 but slowly. It was mostly stuck near 6/7 https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/MJO/CLIVAR/ecmf.shtml
  10. It will be This will not be a shutout winter
  11. Having the MJO stall in 7 and then going to 8 is helping us out here. The longer it takes the better for us.
  12. Got this from SNE subforum Pattern turns alot better after Christmas Courtesy of Orh
  13. Block doing its work in the long range on the cmc and gfs.
  14. Rjay knows I'm right so he has to weenie me
  15. Cmc is way different than 12z and mutes the warmup with a big storm. The block is having an effect on the GFS and CMC tonight
  16. Huge block on the gfs Everything is getting shunt further to the south on this run
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