MJO812
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Everything posted by MJO812
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Now everyone definitely thinks a big snowstorm is on the way. I understand it's their job but maybe don't put out numbers just yet.
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We all know that the GFS sucks with coastal storms and has for years but it hasn't really budged big time. It did budge alittle on 6z. These 12z runs and especially the 0z runs tonight are going to be crucial. Looking at H5 early in the run will tell you how the rest of the run will go. More energy being held back , more east this will come. The less , the more west. You also have to see where the low forms down south and where or if it closes off.
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Getting stuck at the airport is the worst
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I would also take that
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My fiancee is about to cancel her hair trial on Saturday for our wedding because of the major snowstorm. I told her to hold it off and I will let you know more tomorrow morning lol
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NWS didn't include the GFS in their thinking about snowfall totals.
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It just made a good step west on h5 on the gfs with some left leaners on the gefs. It's funny how the mood has changed when everyone said dismiss the gfs at 0z.
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Emotions We went from having a high on the 0z runs to panic because the Euro shifted east.
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Gfs sucks with coastal storms -
Gfs hasn't been locked in for days
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And meanwhile every other models went west
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Dude every model just went west at 0z. Let's see how the 12z runs are.
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Staying in the COD in phase 3 now which is good for February. Sudden twist
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3z sref west of 21z
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Made some improvements at H5 and the surface low. More members west of the mean low compared to 0z
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Gfs is slightly more west with the low but still goes northeast with it compared to the other models.
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Better Low is further west but still goes more northeast than the other models
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Not the whole run
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Rgem at 48 hours
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