MJO812
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Everything posted by MJO812
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I guess it's just wait and see what tomorrow brings by looking out the window -
It's more amped but less precip on the northern side
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Nam might be coming more north
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Need the MJO to go into 8 1 2 3
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2023-2024 OBS/Discussion
MJO812 replied to The Iceman's topic in Philadelphia Region
We usually have to worry about these shifting north -
Very rare to see norluns trend south
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And here I am in NYC waiting for my 1-3 inch snowfall tomorrow. Enjoy up there
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These troughs sometimes hit places that were not modeled. Have to watch that tomorrow .
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Not your typical El Nino with a backloaded February. Still plenty of time for it to change but not looking good .
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Anytime it's alone is a big red flag.
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3k Nam is also drier General 1-3 inches Usually these troughs end up further north but not the case here with the confluence and no phasing.
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Nam shouldnt be taken seriously if the other models don't agree with it. What a failure.
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Any snow that we get will melt away next week with the milder temps and rain .
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It's really close to the south shore of NYC. Still gives the City around 3 inches .
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HRRR is focusing the heaviest snow towards central NJ
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It's a shame that we couldn't get a huge snowstorm with this cold in place
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The models today are going to be interesting to see if it shifts north .
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It really is I'm sitting at 2.2 inches and looking like another dud of a winter.
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Right now the heaviest snow looks to be in SNJ southward with the norlun. Time is running out for a north shift.
