MJO812
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Everything posted by MJO812
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Grain of salt with the SV maps but the pattern gets better after the 1st week of February. All the ensembles show a quick change to cold weather .
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You have a risk with the ridge but I rather take my chance with this than the suppression pattern.
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Don, this isn't a warm signal .The cold only goes out west because the EPO goes positive for 4 or 5 days then reverses. We have seen this over and over again so far this winter. All the long range warmth calls Hage busted so far this winter. The epo ridge has been consistent. This is all the models showing this.
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Quite possible
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Nothing shows warmth anymore after the brief mild spell earlier in the month.
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February will deliver. Ensembles look good.
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Gfs also
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This was the 6z gfs AI. 12z didn't come out yet.
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Further south on the gfs with the clipper
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Hopefully we get something before the milder weather kicks in for a few days .
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We usually hope the cold comes during the winter but this winter has been a true winter with cold. Just need the snow.
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https://x.com/commoditywx/status/1882876000801059023?t=sgbMA2jp23Jxbr5Wzx5wMA&s=19
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Yep https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1882866366770012404?t=GSyvRjDxqK2rol_M6bZLcg&s=19
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Brief warmup https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1882866366770012404?t=GSyvRjDxqK2rol_M6bZLcg&s=19
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More like mid February
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I dont care at this point if we get snow to rain events.
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We need a change because this suppression isn't working out for us.
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Brief and then right back to cold and hopefully stormy. Gefs doesn't look bad for the storm in early February .
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Why has Ray checked out?
