December 26 -27 2010 Blizzard
https://abc7ny.com/nyc-christmas-blizzard-new-york-city-2010-snowstorm/5788832/
I got 25 inches here in Brooklyn. There were so many vehicles stuck on the roads where I live.
We might get 12 inches alone in January if the pattern ahead produces. I agree just sit back and relax though . We haven't had the MJO in our favor in years so that's a big positive.
The risk coming up is suppression , not cutting with the block forming in early January . Gfs just missed with 2 storms. January 5-10is the 1st timeframe to watch for a snowstorm..
The pattern on the models look the best that we have seen in years. It's not only 1 model showing it.
The MJO is also going in our favor which is huge. January is going to be a fun month for winter lovers ( cold and hopefully snow)
We have been averaging positive with the PNA. There are no signs of it going negative in the near future.
Just enjoy the pattern change in early to mid January instead of worrying about what's going to happen in late winter.
Anything past 300 hours is gravy.
In the past it hasn't but how can we make the same assumption ? This winter is already starting out better than the past winters. Enjoy model watching and the pattern changing after next week.