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About MJO812

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Brooklyn, NY
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This was a fail. Those earlier predictions of going negative was wrong. This put an end to any winter threats.
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Exactly Alot of forecast busts happened this past winter.
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He was just stating what the models showed in early to mid March. They did show a colder and potential snowy pattern. The NAO never went negative.
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
MJO812 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Dont worry I only post in here when our areas are tracking a snow event or I am on vacation in Wildwood. -
There were some pretty bad posts during this past winter. Sometimes you just have to be patient and see what happens.
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This wasn't a sudden end though. This winter was basically from early Decemver to end of February. Non stop cold and storms to track.
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Maybe this strong El Nino will change the state of the PDO
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HRRR has snow flurries for Saturday
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Latest NAO and AO predictions are showing it staying positive now. Expect the models to warm up.
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Latest NAO and AO predictions are showing it staying positive now. Expect the models to warm up.
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EL Nino plus blocking would be ideal for the east. We just had a second favorable winter in a row in many locations in the east. Maybe the tide is turning . We did get lucky last winter with the negative NAO and the cooperate pacific. I want to see the pacific continue to improve. We need a PDO flush.
