MJO812

Euro AI ensembles are west of the op. I expect the ridge on the east coast to pump more due to the negative PNA. I expect shifts west but the question becomes how much far west?

Euro is also weak and suppressed.

Ukie is very weak

Gefs

Im expecting that. Enjoy the snow.

Still something to track

Im saying that the PV will not become strong. I expect cold most of this month with active conditions. Beating a dead horse ? Snowman, you have been wrong so far about this upcoming pattern along with others. I wouldn't be puffing your chest out if I was you. Why are you ignoring the MJO projection . PV will take another hit soon.

PV forecast

Phase 8 and Phase 1 are cold in negative enso years.

Quite possible. Just need the right track. Here is the 6z gfs

Ukie is also on board with the storm along the front.

Nice ridge out west and plenty of cold. What a turnaround from the models.

Gfs is active and cold . Nice to see.

Is this for a weak La Nina? We have to see whats going to happen because next week was supposed to be warm and now look.

Phase 8 /1 isnt warm