MJO812

This was a fail. Those earlier predictions of going negative was wrong. This put an end to any winter threats.

Exactly Alot of forecast busts happened this past winter.

He was just stating what the models showed in early to mid March. They did show a colder and potential snowy pattern. The NAO never went negative.

Dont worry I only post in here when our areas are tracking a snow event or I am on vacation in Wildwood.

There were some pretty bad posts during this past winter. Sometimes you just have to be patient and see what happens.

This wasn't a sudden end though. This winter was basically from early Decemver to end of February. Non stop cold and storms to track.

This is an interesting take.

60 here

Maybe this strong El Nino will change the state of the PDO

HRRR has snow flurries for Saturday

This was a fail. That's why long range forecasts shouldn't be taken seriously.

Latest NAO and AO predictions are showing it staying positive now. Expect the models to warm up.

Latest NAO and AO predictions are showing it staying positive now. Expect the models to warm up.

64 here

EL Nino plus blocking would be ideal for the east. We just had a second favorable winter in a row in many locations in the east. Maybe the tide is turning . We did get lucky last winter with the negative NAO and the cooperate pacific. I want to see the pacific continue to improve. We need a PDO flush.