If the eye wall is undergoing replacement then I assume it could regain strength and be more resistant to the shear/dry air vs if it underwent EWR later today ?
I know there may be more than 1 factor but what should we be focusing on to dictate how far north Milton goes until it heads more east that’s influencing it until it makes landfall ? Is it that trough ?
I think we need time to see if this goes more west. It appears to me on radar its now heading north and soon NE so maybe in time we shift things back a little east. Time will tell later today,
Appreciate the in-depth review for Chicagoland. It seems reasonable but is this for areas away from the Lake and north of the city ? Lots of talk of 3-5 inches max for city and lakeshore and rain for hours on Friday ?
Crazy how the lake I assume can reduce amounts and then you go just west a little and you are at 10 inches. That sucks for us near the shore or in downtown. Is there anyway that the shore or downtown can get in that 10 inch range ?
If you had to guess precip amounts for downtown what do you think is your call and could that change tomorrow based on future runs of the models or are you pretty set ?
I will be in Chicago on Friday so I am for sure pulling for the Euro. Wow thats amazing. Lets see if the GFS folds to the Euro or vice versa as we go through tonight