Weather Mike

When we see it decrease that’s a good sign we will see it head more east. I just hope it’s south of the Bay Its nasty in Tampa now. I am on the bay.

If the eye wall is undergoing replacement then I assume it could regain strength and be more resistant to the shear/dry air vs if it underwent EWR later today ?

I know there may be more than 1 factor but what should we be focusing on to dictate how far north Milton goes until it heads more east that’s influencing it until it makes landfall ? Is it that trough ?

Someone on the west coast is going to take a big hit soon. God bless all of you. Including me.

We need a break in Tampa. So many homes went under water. I just gutted mine due to the surge. Lets hope this comes in weak and spares Tampa.

I think we need time to see if this goes more west. It appears to me on radar its now heading north and soon NE so maybe in time we shift things back a little east. Time will tell later today,

I love that for Chicago !

Its like KLOT is taking into consideration the lake but the GFS and some others say screw the lake ?

love that run. On my way to Chicago now. I know the lake will affect accumulations but I still love seeing those numbers on the recent 18Z

Thanks for posting that. To me the Euro and GFS have been similar and consistent lately with this event. I hope it does come to fruition.

How does the 12Z Euro look especially for Chicago ? Is it similar to the 12z gfs?

GFS has been very consistent. Good to see that trend ....if it unfolds that way

I like at least how still the GFS and Euro are not NW and more in agreement give or take a little unlike the NAM etc. See what the 12Z shows.

What a difference this close to the event on these two model runs from Milwaukie to CHI

Appreciate the in-depth review for Chicagoland. It seems reasonable but is this for areas away from the Lake and north of the city ? Lots of talk of 3-5 inches max for city and lakeshore and rain for hours on Friday ?