Iceresistance

10% HATCHED for Missouri, also includes Springfield

And it's right over my Great-Grandparents (Springfield, MO)

Very Broad Enhanced risk on Day 3 Only 8% of Oklahoma is not under a 15% chance for Next Tuesday, it's a May-like Setup & it's extremely broad, Enhanced risk may be needed in the next couple of days depending on the model trends

I'm at the westernmost fringe of the Slight Risk for Sunday It appears that the Dry Line is along I-35 from Texas to Kansas

Christmas Blizzard of 2009: I was only 6 & in Missouri when it struck, a normally 5 1/2 hour trip back home on I-44 took 10-12 Hours instead, my house got 1' of snow February 2011: Nearly 1 Foot again, Temperatures fell to Below Zero after that (Down to at least -9°F) 2013 Christmas Ice Storm: Had to leave for Missouri the day before the scheduled day, Power was basically out for Pott. County for over 1 week while we stayed in Missouri (Never lost power there) February 2014: 5-6 inches of snow March 2015 Snowstorm: 4 Inches & Whiteout Conditions January 2017: 1-2 inches January 2019: 2 inches, but OKC got 4.5 inches in a Snowburst 2020 October Ice Storm December 2020: 3 Snowstorms (Including the Surprise Snowstorm of December 30th) 2020-2021 New Years' Day Winter Storm February 2021 Extreme Cold & Snow 10 & 8 Inches of snow from 2 Storms Temperatures fell to an extremely cold -22°F

The NWS radar has gotten better now, I've managed to spot a Tornadic QLCS Mesocyclone near Mustang last week using the NWS-Radar & Velocity.

I've thought of that as "Most Extreme Weather"

NOT AGAIN!

I can't see it . . .

Oklahoma City

New Norman sounding has a MUCH weaker Cap & Stronger Thermodynamics for Supercell development

TORNADO ON THE GROUND

Tom Pastrano is getting a good view as well . . . And Val Castor is starting is get a really good view as well

Tornado Warning for SW Oklahoma

May have initiation right now near Altus or Hollis, OK

This is probably just shy of a PDS Tornado Watch. O_O

There's 93L ESE of the Leeward Islands

This link would be EXTREMELY useful for tracking Supercells in Central Oklahoma, trust me . . . https://www.news9.com/nextgen-live-radar

Also through Shawnee & even ends up at Tulsa

Moderate Risk bigger & farther North, also includes Tulsa, Bartlesville, & Stillwater

It's really Windy outside, & my gut is telling me that today is going to be really bad News 9 said that they would not be surprised if there is a PDS TORNADO WATCH from the NWS

Enhanced risk now includes DFW

I'm in the Moderate Risk today . . .

6z HRRR, BIG Supercell into OKC from the SW 12z HRRR: 3 Supercells training one after another from Chickasha to Earlsboro (Also through Tecumseh, OK, imagine going through that! YIKES!) 18z HRRR: Powerful Supercell from near Carnegie to Tulsa (Please note it's what the most notable features from the HRRR)

Yes, I'm posting that on S2K