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Iceresistance

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  1. Iceresistance
    18z GFS is shoving the cold within 200 Hours, also faster compared to 12z
  2. Iceresistance
    Uh oh
  3. Iceresistance
    The end of the 12z GFS has a Sleet Storm for most of Oklahoma. However, it's too far out to be 100% sure with the EPO being way more Positive than expected & it's 2 weeks out as well.
  4. Iceresistance
    The EPO is extremely positive, & the models are underestimating how long it's lasting right now.
  5. Iceresistance
    EPO is extremely Positive & the models have underestimated how long it's being positive right now, it would be a HUGE anomaly to have the EPO positive for the Entire Winter as well.
  6. Iceresistance
    End of the 12z GFS is February 2021 all over again . . .
  7. Iceresistance
    The AO also must be Negative for this to work as well. And the 12z GFS is surging the Cold air faster compared to the 6z run.
  8. Iceresistance
    I'm not sure about that . . .
  9. Iceresistance
    These 1060+ MB Highs are not to be messed around at all on the 6z GFS! 1067 MB over Western Canada & 1060 MB over Montana at the same time! Another 1059 MB over Montana Powerful Greenland & Alaska Blocks will also cause multiple rounds of Cold Waves in December Really Cold Temperatures 3 Big Winter Storms to boot as well 24-Hour Kuchera Snowfall Totals
  10. Iceresistance
    Or unless there is extreme model consistency & agreement up to 14 days out?
  11. Iceresistance
    Round #1 is in Early December right now, I forgot to say that there is strong model consistency on the Early December Cold Wave (Round #1) here, LOL
  12. Iceresistance
    CFS model is very consistent with the December Cold Wave Round #2 (And maybe #3) at around Christmas Week, not a very good timing for my Christmas trip plans though . . .
  13. Iceresistance
    All but one model (12z CMC) is in agreement for a blast of Cold Air in Early December, the Euro is colder faster than the GFS. The 12z GEFS is showing a loose signal of snow in the Southern Plains from December 5th to December 10th.
  14. Iceresistance
    Many models are very consistent with the December Cold Blast, the only model that does not show it right now is the 12z CMC, even the 12z GEFS is showing a loose signal for snow in the Southern Plains from December 5th to December 10th.
  15. Iceresistance
    Happy Thanksgiving Y'all, the 12z GFS is showing a powerful Cold Wave in Early December
  16. Iceresistance
    18z GFS . . . O_O
  17. Iceresistance
    Forgot to add that the CFS model is still showing an active Winter Pattern for December
  18. Iceresistance
    The GFS model is getting me concerned for Early December, very consistent on an Active pattern with Winter Storms in December, but the problem is that it's not consistent for the Storms.
  19. Iceresistance
    GEFS hinting something later towards possibly December, 18z GFS has jumped in with the GEFS, except it's earlier.
  20. Iceresistance
    The 12z GEFS has showed this at the end of the run: Greenland & Alaska Blocks are really strong, & it will go the Central & Southern Plains if there is a East Coast Block like what happened in February 2021 The GEFS has been showing something like this lately, but not the arctic buildup into a cold wave in good detail until now.
  21. Iceresistance
    Oh yes, we're overdue for Back-to-back February cold waves that happens once in around 20 years
  22. Iceresistance
    AO & NAO much more positive than expected, snow is no longer expected for the Southern Plains.
  23. Iceresistance
    Yes, you're reading this correctly.
  24. Iceresistance
    12z GFS never materialized the cold for the Southern Plains on Thanksgiving, however, this is the same timeframe from the February 2021 Extreme Cold & Snow, when the models started lose some of the consistency before regaining it 24-48 hours before the event.
  25. Iceresistance
    The models do have a strong tendency to underestimate on how long the blocking pattern lasts, just like what happened in February 2021
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