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Iceresistance

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  1. After an unusual period of inactivity, the MJO is finally back in action again. December 1st-December 3rd, 2021 MJO Phase: 6 (WPAC) Strongly expected to be in Phase 7 in the next few days from the models.
  2. It's definitely going to be Borderline Blizzard Conditions in Minnesota
  3. Blizzard Warning for Southern Cook County in Minnesota
  4. Almost nothing, only the Northern Part of Oklahoma gets even up to .25 inch.
  5. 6z GEFS Mean Snowfall through 7 Days, Central Penn. gets less fun compared to New York.
  6. The GEFS has a brief split, but that destabilizes the PV even more.
  7. SSW confirmed by the models, Cold wave will now be expected between Christmas Week & New Years
  8. Yes, the GFS was almost SPOT ON! But the Euro wanted to have none of it until it was too late
  9. The SSW appears to be stretching from Eastern Siberia to Central Canada, both the GFS & GEFS are showing this
  10. A SSW combined with a split could be really interesting, there are strong analogs for this in December 1984
  11. This shows how fast things can change within a month.
  12. Need to watch Next Week & Next Weekend for snow, GFS & GEFS are in stronger agreement for snow during that time period, the areas that could have snow is Kansas, Oklahoma, NW Arkansas, & Panhandle & Northern Texas.
  13. 0z GFS has Michigan divided in terms of Precip type, the Upper Peninsula will get snow, while the Lower Peninsula mostly gets rain, Northern Wisconsin, & most of Minnesota will also get the snow as well by Sunday. The backside of the system will bring another round of snow & colder Temperatures to the area Next Week, some areas will never get above freezing after Tomorrow until late next week for most areas
  14. Most models are picking up on a Stratwarm that will cause the PV to become unstable & possibly produce a cold wave by around Christmas week into New Years
  15. GEFS is still showing a good signal for snow in the Southern Plains next week. And most of the models are picking up the Stratwarm next week now.
  16. 11.30.2021 18z GEFS is showing a stronger signal for snow across the Southern Plains by Mid-December
  17. EPO is STILL being very Positive right now, the models are underestimating on how long it's lasting, even though I'm still predicting a cold blast sometime in December though.
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