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George001

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Everything posted by George001

  1. It is looking increasingly likely that this upcoming blizzard will be the biggest region wide event since Jan 29th 2022.
  2. Bernie Rayno is favoring more of a northern track. He said in his video he’s not really buying what the gfs suite is selling.
  3. I’m not sure about the wagons south thing, it’s a massive storm. There is a lot of energy flying around.
  4. I just asked in the other thread how much you got, wow this ended up being a nice storm. I figured you got a lot, I was just outside the heaviest banding and got 5-6 inches. You were right in the middle of it, so this does not surprise me.
  5. Even non AI guidance has moved north. It’s still a whiff, but I like where we sit for this one. Btw how much snow did you end up getting?
  6. Looks like around 5 inches out there. I was a bit worried yesterday afternoon, but fortunately looks like the storm played out as expected here. Plowable snow + Pats W, what a weekend!
  7. Isn’t he expected to get a plowable snow tomorrow
  8. Nah, it goes deeper than that. I literally spent time in the nuthouse and do not have this issue (I have literally told exes that I was severely mentally ill, and they became MORE attracted to me) so severe mental illness doesn’t justify being unable to pull. Dude needs to learn to work with what he’s got and lean into the hot+crazy vibe like I did. There are plenty of hot and crazy women out there for him, he just needs to accept himself and play the cards he was dealt.
  9. Completely different setup. The pattern is more progressive.
  10. Yeah it did, I was kinda pissed when that one skunked my area, but that didn’t last. The next storm alone more than made up for the entire first half of winter, then we all know what happened. That truly was a once in a lifetime winter. Anyways, how are you feeling about this one? I like where we are at with this. There is a decent amount of support for a moderate event right now on guidance, with some upside if things break right.
  11. That kickoff system was modeled as a 12-16 incher in the mid range, and bumped NW last min leading to mixing and changeover to rain cutting down on totals in eastern areas. The follow up threat…. That went from 0-100 on guidance inside 5 days.
  12. I wouldn’t write this one off. The last one had serious wave spacing issues. The gfs isn’t the only model with a storm, AI guidance and Canadian are also on board. It’s a deep trough and there is a lot of energy.
  13. I’m going to take a look at the setup more in depth later. The 6z euro was a whiff, but it wasn’t terribly far off. Even on the Euro that’s a potent shortwave. Ai guidance is also close, so the takeaway here is there is some cross guidance support for a storm threat.
  14. I know he’s negative a lot, but I don’t think Tblizz is being unreasonable here. I also want to see more support from other guidance before buying in, and the wave spacing is a real limitation.
  15. Id rather take my chances with the second one. Wave spacing issues with wave 1 are a real concern.
  16. It’s not a good sign when we are tracking patterns rather than individual storms in January.
  17. Keeling curve has an extremely high (r^2 value of nearly 1) to global temps, and it is exponential, not linear. CC is underplayed if anything
  18. I’m hearing a lot of hype for the second half of January after the relaxation period. You nailed the early January period being a bust back when it was being hyped up, so I’m curious to hear your take on the second half of the month.
  19. People shouldn’t have a problem with reality.
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