George001
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Everything posted by George001
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Holy shit, it’s actually happening. A few days ago when there were 2 camps, one weak and agreed and another way north, the Navy was north. Everything caved to the Canadian and Navy! -
Holy shit, over the past couple of days the low moved a good 100+ miles north on the models!
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Yeah, that’s a burial. CNE absolutely gets in on it with the low that far north.
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The gfs went south a bit, but the Canadian went even more north. Low is also deepening to the high 980s
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It’s interesting, looking at the pattern coming up it looks serviceable to good for the Boston area, but a lot better for interior areas. Almost like a La Niña snowfall distribution, wouldn’t be surprised to see Boston end the season with 40 and Worcester with 80-90 or something.
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Gun to head, how are you feeling about your 42-52 inch call for the Boston area? I’m not going to lie, I’m getting nervous about my 20-30 inch call busting, especially with the blocking being modeled for later Jan and a significant storm (6+) on the horizon. Imo your range is looking good right now.
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Yep, low is way north. Should I get my snowblower ready?
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Hopefully the Canadian is right about 1/10. The low plows into Michigan, but it snows east of the low.
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Canadian is a good compromise between Euro and gfs. 6-10 inches for us, which I would be very happy with.
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The weaker solutions are bad news because it allows the follow up storm to gain more latitude which would lead to another washout for ski areas.
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Eh, it will probably go back and forth over the next couple of days.
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Yeah that’s way north
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Agree. I’m ok with risking ptype issues, would rather lose some snow to mixing and lower ratios with a hugger track than a weak strung out piece of shit.
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I hope Zappe throws 5 picks in the snow on Sunday. The 12+ amounts very well could be overdone, but I’m feeling pretty good about a plowable snow for my area with the 12z guidance moving way north.
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Yep I’ve seen enough, I’m officially on board for a significant storm. When the Navy is that far north and strong, that’s a red flag that the southern guidance is wrong.
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I want it more north. EPS looks great.
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Yeah with that setup we are going to taint eventually, but I’m hoping we can get a few inches of front end and avoid the torch for a net gain.
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For the 10th threat, what are some things to look for that would lead to a more wintry outcome?
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I agree 100% with suppression not being the main threat especially for the coastal plain. My gut feeling is we will be fighting ptype issues, with biggest snows inland.
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HOLY SHIT THATS WAY NORTH
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Looks like an all or nothing pattern. If 1/7 whiffs south we are cooked, but if it goes way north a wintry solution for 1/10 is back on the table.
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Navy is also north
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Canadian looks great, I hope it’s right. Gfs is weak and strung out.
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Yeah we need a later phase to prevent the low from gaining latitude in the Midwest.
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Gfs improved for the 10th
