George001

You are getting over a foot. Congrats

That radar screams overperformer

could what’s going on to our south (mix line more north) be a good sign for us?

I’m not super invested in the result (given it will probably melt soon and it’s not going to be a lot of snow here), but I have been horribly wrong about how I thought this storm would play out (I thought the modeled NW-SE track was bullshit, and it’s clearly not). So I am invested in this from the perspective of someone looking to use this as a learning experience. We haven’t had a lot of blocking in recent years so I am out of practice, but this reminds me a bit of the late March 2018 setup where LI got buried and the dry air won out farther NE. I’ll take a stab at it. I’m leaning towards the cold dry air winning out for my area, thinking more 2-3 than 4-6 here. Farther west is a different story, this one looks good for you guys. The radar does look more juiced than guidance, which could potentially lead to the storm overperforming for areas where the dry air doesn’t win out.

Definitely walking a tightrope here to get a sustained winter period heading into the new years. We need not only for things to break right with this storm, but also need enough of a secondary to pop for the next storm to limit snow melt. Not impossible, but I’m keeping expectations low for now.

Eh it’s all going to melt in 2 days anyways, even if everything goes right we aren’t getting more than what 4-6? Oh well, on to the next threat. Actual snow that sticks around for a month >>>>>> instant gratification from models like the NAM with a known NW bias printing 8 inches of digital snow.

Yeah what a waste, sucks but at least we aren’t getting a 2 foot blizzard and wasting it. Probably only a few inches here, will look nice for a couple of days before the melt due to the cutter. 2 feet of snow then a cutter would be awful, there would be patches of dirty, filthy snow. Fortunately, there won’t be enough snow for that to happen.

Yeah the NW to SE track we are seeing modeled is very rare. I’m skeptical that’s right

Gfs north

Being negative for this one for us is realistic, this has looked like a Maine storm for a while now. I’m more excited about the period after Christmas, not expecting much of anything with this one.

We had a cold period, then a warm period, and now it looks like it will be stormy/variable. So far It’s progressing like a normal New England late fall/early winter period. Social media likes to exaggerate and sensationalize, it’s really just normal seasonal progression. What’s wrong with saying the weather has been normal and unremarkable?

The upcoming pattern looks favorable for New England. This is different than the early December period, climo is no longer hostile now that it is late December.

It’s hard to take anything good or bad for that system seriously when just yesterday it had rains to Maine

Yeah this has always been a Maine storm

Yep way too early to write off the rest of December, never mind Jan and Feb