Mount Joy Snowman

You really are in a tough spot now. Too southeast to cash in on the lake stuff and too west for the coastal stuff. Also lying low between ridges. Rough gig.

I was just coming here to post that. It shows a bit of that localized boom potential that @Itstrainingtime posted about from MU.

My NWS hour by hour has the DP at 14 at midnight and not rising above 20 until 7-8am-ish. Who knows, I just want to see snow, whenever it comes. Having a buddy over tonight to watch the Penn State-Iowa wrestling dual and making some old fashioneds. I might have to stay up and see what transpires, or more likely just fall asleep on the couch haha.

They seem fairly split on the midnight action but either way I tend to think that opening batch may appear more as virga and serve to overcome the dry dews, setting the table for a quick morning slug. That's my thoughts anyway. Oh, and the only model that truly matters, that being the RAP (no sarcasm detected), shows a nice morning hit. #RapForTheWin

Most of the guidance I've looked at has a 6-10ish type timeframe for the main swath. Some show a separate batch breaking out ahead of the morning slug sometime during the overnight hours, but early morning seems the best bet for seeing accumulating flakes.

Low of 18. I like my chances for an inch of snow tomorrow morning. Happy Friday, all.

Thank you good sir. Yes, I’ve been to that Brimmer’s a number of times over the years. Today I just went to the Rohrerstown DMV and believe it or not I was in and out, got there right when they opened. ‘Twas quite pleased. I believe you have to go to a PennDot center for real ID, so no dice on Brimmer’s.

Current temp of 29 is the low. Didn’t see any snow but .05” of rain in the bucket. Have to spend my birthday at the DMV this morning. I’d rather put pencils through my eyeballs.

We are looking at one heck of a midnight high tonight, with temps perhaps ten degrees greater than our daytime highs tomorrow.

Low of 39. Perhaps some of us get to wake up to a whitened yard tomorrow morning and then hoping for some vibrant tracking come the last week of January. Onward.

Feels like a good time to remind everyone of the following, all of which is taken from MU's exactly 100 years of snowfall record-keeping. MU only averages a 12"+ snowfall about once every three years and only averages a little over two events per year with >4". They average ~9.5 measurable snowfalls a year at an average accumulation of 2.86", for a yearly average ~27". Over 75% of the accumulated snowfall comes from events <4". 32% of the snow falls in Feb, 30% in Jan, 17% Dec, 16% Mar, 3% Nov, and 1% in April (yes I'm aware these add up to 99 and not 100 ha). Leanest decade was the 50's with an average annual snowfall of only 21.6". Current decade is averaging only 14.8" but that is coming on the heels of one of our snowiest from 2010-2019 with an average of 35.5". Snowiest decade was the 60s with an annual average of 36.2".

Low of 30 at the house but 23 through the rurals on the car therm.

Low of 26 with a trace of snowfall. Also, I had .45" from Saturday's rain. I've been a bit out of the loop but it seems the potential for a big hit late this week has diminished. Always more ways to make an out than get on base. Oh well, I still think we'll see several periods with flakes in the air and the cold looks to stay mostly entrenched. That's good enough for me. Onward.

This has to be the craziest wild card weekend of all time.

Packers have me a broken man. I need snow to lift me up.

Low of 40 with .05” of rain. Am I crazy for thinking we have a pretty decent shot of a snow squall-ish type shower tomorrow?

A Lancaster landmine, lock it in.

I know. It’s hard to believe we were a testicle’s hair away from beating them ha.

Yeah I'm surprised by that but good to hear.

Canadian is also a nice hit and Euro is a close miss. The next week of tracking should be fun.

Have fun down there! Next Thursday is my birthday so I'll be hoping for some nice action, both with weather and my wife

12z GFS with s solid look for next weekend after missing just wide right a couple days prior to that.

Low of 36 with a trace of rain overnight. My highs for today and tomorrow are now down to 52 and 44, quite the change.

All the models show plenty of possibilities "rounding the bend" and that is good enough for me. As you've said, we'll have stuff to track. Whether any of it hits the LSV or not, only time will tell.

I can't love this post enough. It's so cool that you have records going back that far and developed your love of weather early on with the help of your father. Great stuff.