Mount Joy Snowman

There have been a LOT of meso runs that continue to pinpoint @Voyager's area for a local maxima (to steal @Itstrainingtime's new favorite word ha).

That's fine, get it out of your system now. We're going to need full locked-in Nut for next week haha.

That 6pm timeframe is right about the time we should be transitioning to plain rain. You'll just have to play it by ear. Not what you want to hear, I know.

Oh yes it was you and I who were discussing the roadways. For some reason Canderson came to mind, I guess because of his gathering ha. I could see it going either way with respect to the roads tomorrow. Tough call. Be safe pal! Hey, at least she's heading south. Should be fine down that way. Now as for the first part of the journey......... Mother Nature is determined to not let you have this thing. Just accept your fate and bow before the weather gods haha.

Hey @canderson MU tweeted this so I guess he sees things differently than us for tomorrow haha. Good luck with your gathering! "Travel conditions will likely be treacherous tomorrow afternoon. Tires cannot gain proper traction on roadways covered by snow, sleet or ice. If you must drive, reduce speed and increase following distance. The best bet is to just stay inside and off the roads between 11 AM-8 PM."

Throwing all this into that antecedent cold airmass would work just fine, to put it mildly.

I take it all in. All of it ha. Then just try and come up with a very broad high-level view of what's most likely to happen and go with that, while hedging a bit to known biases or extremes. A blended model approach is usually a solid way to go.

Thanks, makes sense that Kuch would be a little better. I only have access to 10:1 for the Ukie, should have known to add on a couple inches.

Ukie with a nice coastal track that gives like 6-8" to us easterners and drops off as you head NW to about 3" around State College. Biggest totals of a foot around coastal NJ and DE. Still has room to be pulled in. A nice result.

You're not wrong. I thought the same while viewing. There was potential for more but I guess that's a good thing?? And yes, it did bomb out pretty good once it gained some latitude, as we so often see. Bottom line, big east coast snowstorm is in the pipeline and that alone is worth some measured excitement.

Canadian is a bomb, an absolute 'beaut. For viewing enjoyment only.....

GFS will slide juuuuuust to our southeast for the midweek storm. A very near miss.

Yeah roads should remain fine tomorrow with the midday arrival. The one caveat being that it could really thump in certain spots, as has been depicted by some models, and as we know rates can always overcome. However, those would likely be brief bursts and things would clear up quickly again. Mainly a grass event and then we watch in melt. Such a shame we couldn't flatten things out and keep those temps from spiking just a little bit more on Sunday. With that cold coming it would have been nice to keep a layer down.

GFS a widespread 1-3" for tomorrow with the 2" line reaching the MD border in a number of places.

ICON starts things off and, while not an especially tight track, presents a pretty nice outcome.... Edit: I should also add that it throws out a decent 2-4" thump tomorrow for Harrisburg and points northeast, while bulls eying @Voyager with ~6". Pretty much an inch or less for Lanc/York/Adams etc.

I'm thinking an inch from the front-end dump down this way tomorrow, two if we're lucky. Then a period of freezing rain before it all gets washed away Saturday night into Sunday. Could be fun for a few hours around lunch tomorrow. Then comes the cold for a few days starting Monday, with all eyes on the midweek coastal. 12z looms....

Low of 25 with .01" of additional rainfall yesterday morning. Glad to see all the positive news about overnight runs. Now we just have to keep our emotions in check for the better part of a week. What could go wrong haha.

It’s all so ridiculous. Sauss’s purchase seemed particularly egregious.

I’ve seen some insane prices at all types of venues but THAT might take the cake. I’m struggling to do the math on how they charged you that much for two drinks. It’s criminal what these places charge for stuff. Absurd.

There have been some gusts here over the last 30 minutes that have sounds coming from my house that I haven't heard before ha.

The Ukie is oh so close at the end of its run as well, with a low right off the cape.

Labatt Blue is going to stay south of us but we'll let him sober up and check back on the weekend. Not a bad depiction overall though. Damn close.

GFS has a solid look to it and is very close to being a nice win for all of us.

For sure. I made it a point to look when we went by MDT on the train on Tuesday and it was still very solid. There are a few open areas starting to appear but overall still a very nice frozen look.

How 'bout it. The record lows for the 21st thru the 23rd are only 4, 4, and 6. Doable, especially if, dare I say, we could get a snowpack in place.