Mount Joy Snowman

Fall is fair season, late summer at the earliest. Anything else is criminal.

That's a good barometer. I'm at 84 right now, 90 doesn't stand a chance of holding up today ha. I think tomorrow will be a very close call.

I bottomed out at 64 last night. Liking the look of the troughiness the models are depicting for the extended period, perhaps breaking down by the end of next week. Unfortunately, not much moisture associated with said troughiness though, dry is the name of the game for most.

Now this is something we can all celebrate together ha. Also, just noticed someone on Cocorahs near Nottingham in Chester County recorded 5.18" yesterday, yahtzee.

Thanks Bubbler, appreciate the discussion. One thing I would add, in regards to the comment you made earlier about your county only being ~1/3 vaccinated, keep in mind that this doesn't include the relatively large segment of the population that has already had Covid. It irks me at times how the national discourse will completely leave out the number of people who have already had Covid when discussing herd immunity or policy decisions and whatnot. I believe the current estimates put that figure around 100M, a significant portion of whom have not been vaccinated but would still have immunity that is likely as strong or stronger than that which is provided for by the vaccine, and perhaps even longer-lasting as well. There's a lot we don't know about the reaches of natural immunity yet and it will likely vary by individual but it is certainly substantial for much of the population, and when combined with the roughly 190M people who have at least been partially vaccinated, leads to a better picture than what is sometimes portrayed. At some point, sooner than I believe most let on, Covid will simply run out of enough hosts as to remain meaningful; rather, it will likely continue on it perpetuity at some low levels of transmission and may even just be our new flu going forward. But its initial run through the population, which is what allows it to do its damage, is steadily coming to an end. Just a massive numbers game, really. Sorry for rambling and I'm not implying that you didn't know any of the foregoing. I promise, no more non-weather stuff from me today haha.

Yes it is. If you recall a while back I had a post that linked to an article detailing the observing history of Harrisburg. To say it is muddled and inconsistent would be an understatement ha. Edit: For those who want to relive the madness...... https://www.weather.gov/media/ctp/ClimateStationHistory/Harrisburg LCD Site History.pdf

Really?? Maybe I'm just out of the loop a bit on all this but I just assumed kids would be going back to school completely as normal this year. I mean, I live in one of the largest suburban-type districts in the state (Hempfield) and I don't believe they are requiring any masks of kids this year. Are there school districts in some places that are still talking about not being in-person this year? Again, that would be shocking to me. Well, save anywhere outside of San Francisco haha.

Ah, that makes perfect sense then. If the old locations were sited downtown then it's not really surprising they would have most of the warmth records. I mean, I guess it's a bit surprising that it's to that extent, but as you said the elevation and UHI components are certainly the driving factors. Again, good stuff.

I can't emphasize this enough for the bolded points above, NO.

Wow great work here Tim, quite the compelling case you put together. Now, could it just be that the prior observing site was simply located in a warmer location? Is the airport more rural? I'm not familiar with PIT's history. Either way, great job. This is the type of stuff I come here for, love it. Haha yes, yes it would. But I can assure you there will be no future masking for this guy, just done with all of it. I don't even think my wife and I have masks anymore at this point, lost 'em all or threw 'em out. Could probably scrounge one up somewhere but anyway......moving along.

How 'bout it!? I noted this a while back, in fact it was in regards to storms up above Williamsport that I was seeing down here. It's always fascinating to see how far lightning can reflect through the night sky. Yeah sometimes you can't help but raise an eyebrow at some of the super old records. Hard not to think that some of the attention to detail with observing or just general accuracy would be impaired at times. I mean, 1881!? C'mon haha. I just can't picture things as always being on point back then but perhaps that's just my recency bias showing. I envision a man in a top hat checking some old instrumentation through his monocle ha. Either way, that's what's in the books!

Weekend recap: Some spritzes Saturday night, good for getting .01" into the books. Yesterday, despite the big puffies to my south all day, never had a storm go overhead, nada. I did find a gauge on WU down near the southern Lanc/Chester border that recorded 4.2" though. Also got in lots of swimming and booze, so that's a plus. It looks dry for most of the foreseeable future, get ready for the crunchy grass.

I was a Donegal Indian until 4th grade so I will die on that hill with you. Then I went on to graduate as a Hempfield Black Knight. Who knows, probably something wrong with that term by now too ha. And around and around we go ugh.

So Cleveland is officially going to be The Guardians now?? WTF!? Haha, I mean I just can't with this stuff anymore. Has anyone told Native Americans they are being canceled yet? Since when is it considered anything other than laudatory or a sign of admiration to name a sports team after something/someone? Who's next, the Braves? The Chiefs and Blackhawks? Maybe the Warriors? What about half the high school mascots in America? Who know where the fun goes!? *eye roll*

Could ask the same of the home of the Happy Valley -- Centre County. Although that one's pretty self-explanatory, named after its central location in the state. As we used to say at Penn State, it's equally inaccessible from all parts of the state haha.

I bottomed out at 59 last night. More beautiful days ahead.

haha I do apologize, my mistake boss, will never happen again Was just going to mention that, how at least they'll hopefully fare better than the US women's soccer team, ugly performance.....

I know.....I have no excuses, have to be better. A failure, I am.

I can't tell because I waited too long to check this morning and my craptastic weather station only goes back a couple hours or something like that for the low temp. Plus there's a brief period in the morning where it gets some direct sun and reads artificially high (only an issue in the summer). I'm waiting to install a much nicer one when I move locations. However, according to WU, most around me were in that 58-60 range for a low, but I'm usually amongst the lowest due to my low-lying location.

I see Bradford hit 45 last night, nice. @Itstrainingtime You smashed me yet again, only .13" over here yesterday. @paweather So far the highest total on Cocorahs is someone in Palmyra with 1.3", seems like you were the big winner yesterday. A beautiful stretch of weather upcoming, everyone enjoy it.

Yep everything went right around me.

Wowsers, really takin it on the chin up that way.

haha if nothing else PA you are consistent in your enthusiasm. I'm here for it.

Yeah I'm with ya, I don't pay much mind to the LR during the summer months, just way too much variability day-to-day on the convection elements. Once we start to roll into late Fall and Winter I'll pay more attention to fantasy land to try and get rough ideas of pattern and placement for storm chances, and also because, well, who doesn't love a good LR clown map ha.

Boy you can really see the smoke clearing out over Canada and the Great Lakes behind the front on the satellite....