Mount Joy Snowman

Back at ya Candy! That squall line coming through in a couple hours looks legit!

24 when I left the house. Some light radar returns overhead this morning but nothing was reaching the ground. Excited to see who can catch a squall later tonight. Hope everyone has a fun and safe New Year’s Eve.

You were out in that wind most of the day!? A true warrior you are, Nut.

Saw that, and still ranting about the performance of the models. I also saw he openly admitted to preferring warm weather and said he doesn't root for big snowstorms. Alrighty then.

Back to back days with .03” of rain. Low of 28. Winds had me up through the night and were downright vicious around 3am. Let’s see if we can’t catch a dusting one of the next couple nights.

the future.... HGEFS (Hybrid-GEFS): A pioneering, hybrid "grand ensemble" that combines the new AI-based AIGEFS (above) with NOAA’s flagship ensemble model, the Global Ensemble Forecast System. Initial testing shows that this model, a first-of-its kind approach for an operational weather center, consistently outperforms both the AI-only and physics-only ensemble systems. HGEFS — the most innovative application in the new suite. The HGEFS is a 62-member "grand ensemble" created by combining the 31 members of the physical GEFS with the 31 members of the AI-based AIGEFS. Performance: by combining two different modeling systems (one physics-based, one AI-based), the HGEFS creates a larger, more robust ensemble that more effectively represents forecast uncertainty. As a result, the HGEFS consistently outperforms both the GEFS and the AIGEFS across most major verification metrics. A NOAA first: to our knowledge, NOAA is the first organization in the world to implement such a hybrid physical-AI ensemble system. Area for future improvement: NOAA continues its work to improve HGEFS’s hurricane intensity forecasts.

.03” of rain and temp up to 43. Time to brace for the winds!

The staying power of this ice is impressive. Between the cold temps and minimal solar the trees still look great and even some other surfaces are hanging on. I’m still at 32 under thick clouds and the pines look amazing.

My current temp of 29 hasn’t budged all through the night.

My daytime temp never got above 33 today. Now at 31. Been a fair amount of low busts in the temp department lately. Love it.

Absolutely, fantastic effort. Dominated the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball, and that was with an Oline of nearly all backups. Ethan was outstanding, sure looks like he could be the future. I was impressed with the entire team today in tough conditions. Nice way to end the year. Onward.

Official tally here is .3” of sleet and ice off of .33” liquid.

Yes, my wife takes our kids to that place fairly often.

I saw some mPing reports of snowfall ~8am in the area of @Jns2183