Mount Joy Snowman

At 18z the HRRR still isn't on board and the NAMs now keep things mostly all rain. Guess we'll find out tomorrow ha.

Haha I was actually going to chime in to say the same, that you are probably juuuust outside of the blue dot.

Yeah it will take some rates for sure but that's what some of the meso's are showing down our way. You are right though, what's being depicted as snowfall on these maps will surely not amount to that much on the ground with the marginal temps in place. Heck, I was scouring through skew-T's earlier and we really would be walking the tight rope through the lower part of the column, with a wet snow and a surface right around freezing. Could be fun though.

Would likely start as a light rain sometime during the mid afternoon and transition to a steady snow during the evening hours.

GFS holds steady with a few inches for southern parts of the forum. Slightly less qpf than prior runs.

RRFS, FV3, and HRW sisters are all on board for a few inches across much of the forum. This is getting interesting.

NAM comes around in a big way. Not saying this verifies but man would this come as a surprise to many people.

Low of 23. I decided to check in on MU’s twitter feed since he basically mocked the possibility of anything happening here earlier in the week and sure enough he has been ranting about the models again the last couple of days. He is really going through it this winter.

Low of 18. My pack has barely shrunk a millimeter this week. Tomorrow should do some work though.

Current temp of 29 is the low. Looks like yesterday broke (just barely) MDT’s consecutive streak of below normal days.

Same here, 37 the entire time from Mount Joy to my house. It’s amazing what thick clouds and sturdy winds can do for temperature consistency.

Some flurries on the walk to the train in Harrisburg. What a gray day.

I woke up this morning to see NWS had changed my forecast to mostly sunny and was expecting a decent day. It's been completely overcast and the north winds are howling. Just went for a walk around Harrisburg at lunch and it was miserable haha.

No sir. Denied. I refuse to trade good posters for bad ones. Hang in there mate.

Low of 29 with no signs of measurable precip. Not holding my breath for the late weekend storm but will still be monitoring closely. Would give my left pinky for Blizz’s 0z Euro map to verify.