Jesse from KY

In Northern Bell County, we've had some light snow the last while. It's tapered off now, though. Could we see another surge before the night is over? Current temp: 32F

It is currently 2 above in Bell County. KY Mesonet is showing Barbourville (Knox County) at NEGATIVE 2.4F.

I am happy to say that it just started snowing at my location in Bell County. Temp is 27F

Well, I'd say they will certainly be issuing one now. My point's hourly weather graph has increased totals to 5.7"

Probably if it begins over producing they will. Very possible those border counties in KY might over perform. It sure wouldn't hurt my feelings if we overperformed! Lol.

I am just curious if NWS Jackson will upgrade some of the TN/VA border counties to a Warning.

Thank you. By the way and for what it's worth, I live in Bell County (on the northern tip).

Thoughts on WFO Jackson's discussion this afternoon? It appears they aren't too excited about the potential for Eastern Kentucky? I hope their thinking changes. I soo want a good snow for SE KY Key Messages: * An arctic airmass will be in place at the start the work week, with daily highs from Monday through Wednesday expected to remain at or below freezing. Tuesday morning will drop close to zero, or possibly below zero depending on our snow cover. Temperatures will moderate above freezing on Thursday before a second, reinforcing round of arctic air arrives at the end of the period. * There is a chance for accumulating snow Monday through Tuesday and possibly again later in the week. At this time confidence remains low on exact amounts. Areas generally south of the Mountain Parkway and Highway 80 appear to have the best opportunity of seeing accumulating snow. However, overall trends have taken snowfall accumulations further south and towards lower amounts. Analysis and Discussion: Our pattern remains active and highly amplified, with a Hudson Bay low drifting slowly southward to the Great Lakes Region by the end of the extended portion of the forecast. This will keep a mean trough and unseasonably cold air in place across the eastern CONUS. Relatively weak mid/upper level disturbances will round the base of the mean trough with eastern Kentucky just within the corridor of influence of these series of disturbances. The first of these features within the extended period will transit the Commonwealth Monday through Tuesday. Precipitation will develop across the area as a result of weak isentropic lift. Surface features with this first disturbance are not even recognizable, providing insight into just how weak this system will be. At this time there appears to be enough energy to generate a swath of light snow with eastern Kentucky on the northern fringes of this systems influence. Trends in run to run solutions have taken snowfall accumulations further south and towards lower amounts overall. At present, ensemble probabilistic snowfall amounts suggest a high probability (> 70%) of an inch or more along and southeast of a Monticello-Jackson- Paintsville line with the first system. Probabilities drop rapidly for higher amounts, with average probabilities of 3 inches or more generally below 50%, with highest probabilities in along the KY/VA state line. The second system basically impacts eastern Kentucky Thursday night through Friday night. This second system is quite similar to the first, but appears a little stronger with some weak surface features appearing in the solutions. As is typical, the only sure bet is that things will change with time, and it remains to be seen exactly how much winter precipitation is produced with the second disturbance, if any. These are weak systems, which make it a bigger challenge when trying to forecast detailed sensible weather. However, we can take some confidence that in general, we are in a pattern that favors the opportunity of wintry weather, with our forecast area in the northern, colder sections of these transient disturbances. Thus odds should be in our favor that a system will eventually produce a decent round of wintry weather.

Hi everyone! Just wanted to get everyone's opinion on whether we could see wind speeds meeting Wind Advisory OR High Wind Warning criteria in portions of SE KY starting Monday night or Tuesday.

Question: What is the likelihood, based on what you've seen in the models and trends, of an upgrade for SE KY? For Friday and Saturday.

Latest discussion update from NWS Jackson...So I am sort of confused on this. If there is "tapering of moisture", why would an upgrade be necessary? Can someone explain this to me?

Same for you. I've actually never been to Campbell County; I have been to Claiborne numerous time, though.

Sounds good to me lol. Thank you.

45 here at the moment in northern Bell County, Kentucky. I am hoping for at least 1 inch of snow, but I would love an overachiever! What do you all think the potential is of that happening? Just figured I'd get some opinions for SE KY.