TimB
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Everything posted by TimB
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Is it possible to look at this thing and not already feel defeated, like December is already lost yet again?
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Lol
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Pittsburgh/Western PA Fall 2023 Discussion
TimB replied to Ahoff's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Fourth year out of the last 7 when the warmest temp of the season occurred in September (including ties). Two of the other three had their max in June. So only one out of the last 7 years (2020) had a max that occurred solely in July or August. -
Lol
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I mean yeah, it’s a disaster. Even with the new warmer normals we’re still above them some 8 or 9 months every year.
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August is going to clock in just slightly above normal here, with highs just a tenth or two below normal but lows a degree or so above.
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Doing better than I am. Low for August at PIT was 52. The 9th straight year we haven’t gotten to 50 or lower in August, easily a record if you set the threshold at 51. There’s a 12 year stretch with no 40s from 1892-1903 but there were a couple years in that stretch that dropped to 50.
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You’ve been venturing into OT too much lately, lol. I didn’t read @Bubbler86’s post as an intent to cause disagreement or strife.
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Sometimes the second half. I think the 91 on 9/27/17 was the highest temperature of that summer, maybe tied with a day in the first half of June.
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As we head towards next week, here’s what we’re working with as far as hottest September days on record at KPIT (I excluded the obvious bullcrap records from before the KPIT era): Would think we could find our way onto this list multiple times, with mid 90s not out of the question.
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@TheClimateChangeris there a way to do an analysis on how much September average dewpoints have risen in, say, 2013-2022 vs. 1990-1999? Anecdotally it seems it’d be at least 5 degrees but that could be a memory hole.
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You win.
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Maybe someone did. Wasn’t the NWS.
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Night, mostly after midnight, so Thursday sounds about right.
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89 again. Warmest day in August thus far.
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First day with a high of 76 or less since June. I’m going to disagree with the feeling fall-like part. Dewpoints stayed in the 60s all day.
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Currently in the 9th longest streak of 79+ degree days on record (37 days). If tomorrow gets there (could go either way) and Thursday gets there (pretty much a lock) it’ll move into 8th and be the longest such streak since 1991.
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Yet again we’ve surged to 80 at PIT when it wasn’t forecast. It’s uncanny.
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12z GFS now has cold for next week, lol. It never seems to get closer than 7-8 days or so.
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GFS is toying with the idea of some big late-summer heat next week. A long way to go, but upper 90s or higher seem to be showing up nearly every run. I guess it depends on how far east the ridge comes. The Euro and the ensembles have more garden variety heat as the ridge sits a bit west.
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Lol
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As much as we’ve talked about how hard it is to get to 90 around here when it’s forecast, it seems to be equally easy to get to 80 when it isn’t forecast to get there. Did it again today.
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Just a boring garden variety typical summer day.
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What’s confusing to me is they keep continuing the heat advisory for us even though the threat of 100+ heat indices has passed. They’ve trimmed off the western counties but really they should just scrap it altogether.
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Heat advisory criteria doesn’t seem to have verified at any airport observation site in the entire NWS Pittsburgh area.
