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TimB

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  1. Years where PIT (at its current location, since 1952) didn’t reach the 30s on or before 10/9: 1955 1976 2010 2013 2015 2016 2018 2019 2021 2023 So twice in the first 58 years of observations there and 8 out of the last 14. Not likely to get there over the next 10 days either. Could we make it to November before our first 39?
  2. And here we are with PIT somehow into the 70s when mid 60s were forecast.
  3. But AGC got to 43. It’s getting harder to trust the PIT temps.
  4. Clouds I would guess. Upper 40s are pretty common across the area at the moment.
  5. And yet the official low that’s going into the record books is 44. That’s a travesty. Two degrees below normal on a “cold” morning.
  6. Once again the NWS forecasted 40 and I think most of the county got there while the airport bottomed out at 44. We’ll do it again tonight, but if we don’t get below 44, we’re pretty much guaranteed 2nd place and have a shot at 1st on the longest into a fall season we’ve gone without seeing lower 40s (<= 43).
  7. Not to worry, PIT still has a shot at reaching 60 today when it wasn’t even forecast to get close.
  8. It looks like it was reported overcast at 8000 feet for an hour or two during the night. I can’t speak to whether that’s true or not because I wasn’t awake and don’t live anywhere near the airport.
  9. Apparently 44 so far. PIT just doesn’t get cold even when it stays mostly clear most of the night with low dewpoints.
  10. Bump. Looks like we made it to 2nd on this list, with this morning’s low of 47 matching the daily normal for today.
  11. Looks like actual fall now. Maybe a brief trip into warmth the end of next week but doesn’t look endless.
  12. I have confidence in Chesco’s ability to cook the books so October 5 ends up being his last 70 degree day until spring. He’ll just put the weather station in his refrigerator as soon as it gets to 69.7 or so.
  13. 80 has been reached at PIT. First time since 1900 that October has started with 4 days of 80+.
  14. 85 for a high today. 3rd year out of the past 6 we’ve gotten to 85 in October after only getting there one year out of the previous 48.
  15. Oh, now we’re digging deep into the bag of tricks, using a co-op site barely below the median of a small sample size.
  16. I see 1898 in there. That October includes a denier special at many mid-latitude eastern US sites.
  17. I had no idea Hamburg was an official first-order climate site. You learn new things every day.
  18. And there it is. October 3rd and nothing even close to a frost having been observed yet, the term “Indian summer” gets thrown out there.
  19. All jokes aside, MDT’s lows are ridiculous and I don’t fully understand why it doesn’t get cold there because I don’t know the geography there.
  20. You can’t just toss overnight low temperatures because you don’t like what they do to the averages. Sorry, but you just can’t. There is no logical reason to do so.
  21. He has his weather station set up in a children’s playground with an air conditioner blowing on it. Of course it’s going to be below normal most days.
  22. Going 15 days in a row without going below 55 on or after 9/22 is what I was referring to as unprecedented. Fall nowadays is going back and forth between long stretches of above normal and shorter stretches of normal with maybe a below normal day or two sprinkled in here and there. The upcoming pattern reflects this, and it’s now looking like we’ll quickly bounce back to normal or above, and the CPC agrees in their 8-14 day outlook.
  23. Not exactly how you “make up for” unprecedented late season heat unless you get unprecedented early season cold, which next weekend isn’t even close to. Don’t get me wrong, I’ll take it, but it’s just a (probably short) period of slightly below normal temperatures.
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