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TimB

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  1. TimB
    We should be able to seal the deal on our 8th above normal month so far in 2023, against the highest normals of all time. Sitting at +3 with 12 days to go, mostly normal to above. Only May and June have been below normal.
  2. TimB
    GFS really gives us one shot at 30s next week. It’s far from guaranteed.
  3. TimB
    Finally cleared out and got to 41 at PIT. Coldest morning of the season officially and one day short of the record for latest first lower 40s (1882).
  4. TimB
    Then I guess we’ll also stop keeping track of 90 degree days, since that’s as relevant as 39.
  5. TimB
    Is “first 30s” really any more obscure of a record than first freeze, which is a common weather statistic?
  6. TimB
    Pretty damning to see that we’re deep into October and DuBois has yet to see 30s.
  7. TimB
    Admittedly some of it is a bit cherry picked, but things like reaching the lower 40s later than any other year on record are a little more concrete. I do think we see 30s next week before that massive ridge comes in.
  8. TimB
    I hope not. If we get another one like last winter, brace yourself.
  9. TimB
    Our quest to be the first October in history that doesn’t get into the 30s looks to continue. The cool period after the upcoming warmup looks rainy and therefore warm at night, followed by another warmup. Outside shot at lows in the 30s early next week, but we all know for PIT to get to 39 the forecast is going to have to be 35 or 36.
  10. TimB
    PIT surged to 58 today despite a forecast of like 53. It’s really every day now.
  11. TimB
    We’re still north of the warm front but yeah, we’d already be mixing way before the change to plain rain. Low is progged to track near or ever so slightly south of us, so this track would be the usual misery in winter.
  12. TimB
    Years where PIT (at its current location, since 1952) didn’t reach the 30s on or before 10/9: 1955 1976 2010 2013 2015 2016 2018 2019 2021 2023 So twice in the first 58 years of observations there and 8 out of the last 14. Not likely to get there over the next 10 days either. Could we make it to November before our first 39?
  13. TimB
    And here we are with PIT somehow into the 70s when mid 60s were forecast.
  14. TimB
    But AGC got to 43. It’s getting harder to trust the PIT temps.
  15. TimB
    Clouds I would guess. Upper 40s are pretty common across the area at the moment.
  16. TimB
    And yet the official low that’s going into the record books is 44. That’s a travesty. Two degrees below normal on a “cold” morning.
  17. TimB
    Once again the NWS forecasted 40 and I think most of the county got there while the airport bottomed out at 44. We’ll do it again tonight, but if we don’t get below 44, we’re pretty much guaranteed 2nd place and have a shot at 1st on the longest into a fall season we’ve gone without seeing lower 40s (<= 43).
  18. TimB
    Not to worry, PIT still has a shot at reaching 60 today when it wasn’t even forecast to get close.
  19. TimB
    It looks like it was reported overcast at 8000 feet for an hour or two during the night. I can’t speak to whether that’s true or not because I wasn’t awake and don’t live anywhere near the airport.
  20. TimB
    Apparently 44 so far. PIT just doesn’t get cold even when it stays mostly clear most of the night with low dewpoints.
  21. TimB
    Bump. Looks like we made it to 2nd on this list, with this morning’s low of 47 matching the daily normal for today.
  22. TimB
    Looks like actual fall now. Maybe a brief trip into warmth the end of next week but doesn’t look endless.
  23. TimB
    I have confidence in Chesco’s ability to cook the books so October 5 ends up being his last 70 degree day until spring. He’ll just put the weather station in his refrigerator as soon as it gets to 69.7 or so.
  24. TimB
    80 has been reached at PIT. First time since 1900 that October has started with 4 days of 80+.
  25. TimB
    85 for a high today. 3rd year out of the past 6 we’ve gotten to 85 in October after only getting there one year out of the previous 48.
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