Jump to content

TimB

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    16,577

  • Joined

 Content Type 

Everything posted by TimB

  1. TimB
    Indeed, in a typical El Niño, International Falls MN has a December that is 5 degrees warmer than any other December on record.
  2. TimB
    This one should be finalized. 2nd December on record that the airport didn’t get below 20.
  3. TimB
    I’m going to cut the negativity. If this winter sucks, it sucks. Hopefully we all luck out and get something out of it.
  4. TimB
    10th day of 55+ temperatures this month. This occurred in 2 Decembers from 1952 to 2014, and has now occurred in 3 from 2015 to 2023. The record is 14 in 2015, which we won’t get to.
  5. TimB
    I sure as hell don’t have any faith in the old records. I’m quite familiar with how questionable they are at PIT and I’m sure it’s much the same at other sites.
  6. TimB
    PIT closing in on an inch of rain today. Daily rainfall record has been set, but the old record was the softest of December and one of the softest of the entire year at 0.73”. Also moves us past 2002, so this won’t be the driest year of the 2000s.
  7. TimB
    No need to bring actual facts and statistics to the discussion, personal observations and PWS data spliced into a threaded record will always supersede observations at a first order climate site.
  8. TimB
    I recognize that 6-7” of snow over the next 16 days would be basically within the margin of error for “normal” but that’s what the GEFS mean is sitting at right now, which isn’t horrific.
  9. TimB
    You know what I’d place my money on if I had to bet between delayed and denied but I’m not going to continue flooding this place with negativity.
  10. TimB
    Agree that delayed but not denied is probably the best hope here.
  11. TimB
    I do understand what Blizz means on that, tho. Sure, you can’t really get accumulating snow most of the time when the temp is 38, but if the normals are, say, 38/24, a day that is 33/29 is exactly normal and you can get accumulating snow on that day.
  12. TimB
    Of course it exists. The 3 years we’re competing with for warmest year at PIT airport (1991, 2012 and 2016) had warmer average max temps than this year: So naturally this year has had the warmest lows at PIT: (Yes, I know 1949 isn’t actually PIT airport but I forgot to filter out 1948-1952).
  13. TimB
    Looks like possibly our first GEFS ensemble runs of the season with mean total snowfall over 6” finally showed up last night. 0z total might be a little high because it had several members pushing an advisory level snowfall Friday night into Saturday which seems ambitious, but things may finally be pointing in the right direction?
  14. TimB
    Who do I have to…well, you know… to get some goddamned snow around here?
  15. TimB
    True, forgot we have a thread for that specific purpose. My bad.
  16. TimB
    @TheClimateChangerI’d assume we have warmest year at KPIT in the bag?
  17. TimB
    It’s not trolling, it’s frustration and despair because it’s been nearly 22 months since we’ve even had a hint of winter and then a change to seasonable weather that had been advertised for weeks got significantly delayed practically overnight just 4 days out and may disappear entirely, yielding to endless highs in the 40s/lows in the 30s November/March type shit. Last winter wasn’t just bad, it was in the historically bad category, as has been this winter so far.
  18. TimB
    We’re about to lose most of January too, aren’t we?
  19. TimB
    Remember, just two days ago it was thought that below freezing temps would dominate from Thursday on.
  20. TimB
    This is ugly. A low off the VA/NC coast in JANUARY, under negative 500mb height anomalies, bringing rain to PA. Unreal.
  21. TimB
    Sorry, but I’m extremely frustrated with how suddenly the models pulled the rug on the return to winter later this week, and just 4 days out, and it’s not like it’s just being delayed by a day or two. They can’t seem to get a handle on anything these days. Sure, patience is a virtue, but it’s a struggle on the heels of the worst winter of any of our lifetimes and now we’ve frittered away almost half of this one with nothing to show for it. Sorry, but it just stings.
  22. TimB
    Airport in this case.
  23. TimB
    It’s gone. Seasonable cold is now 10+ days away. The writing is on the wall. This is the same goddamn thing that kept happening and happening last year, and it fucking sucks.
  24. TimB
    Given the change in the forecast for late week/weekend, we may finish with just 10 freezing temps in December, less than 2015 and in 2nd place on this list.
  25. TimB
    Sure enough, highs into the 40s into the middle of next week. This is absolutely ridiculous. GFS sniffed out, like it always does, that the torch was going to continue and now the other operational models have followed suit and the ensembles will be next to go. Just 3-4 days before what was expected to be the pattern change too.
×
×
  • Create New...