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TimB

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Everything posted by TimB

  1. TimB
    March 2022 had that storm that dropped like 9” overnight on a weekend and it was well into the 60s by midweek, then I think a smaller event very late in the month, followed by a 36 hour period where we went from a low of 14 one morning to a high of 76 the next day. It was one of those rare Marches where we got lots of snow despite it being decisively above normal temperature-wise on the whole.
  2. TimB
    Yeah, now no one east of the Rockies is winning (except maybe outliers like Buffalo and Minneapolis last winter), but that’s almost worse because it gives little signs of hope.
  3. TimB
    Latest GFS suggests we never see the troughing and instead get a portion of the ridge. An above normal period in that Feb 1-5 timeframe suddenly seems alive and well again. This is comical. Another embarrassing model fail less than 6 days out.
  4. TimB
    It’s going to be an uphill climb to even get this winter into the category of “pretty bad but not abysmal” like a 2016-17 or a 2018-19 as opposed to a 2019-20 or a 2022-23.
  5. TimB
    Well we already lost the snow for next weekend, but now it seems we’ve lost the cold too. Even the “cold” part of the pattern is warm and dry.
  6. TimB
    Personally I’m not sure a January with 6” of precip falling primarily in the form of rain is much more preferable to a January with 6” of precip falling primarily in the form of cat piss, the most vile substance discovered to date.
  7. TimB
    What was the predominant p-type in those three Januaries? What has been the predominant p-type in this one?
  8. TimB
    Actually even more than that. We’re already at +3.9. Looking at the forecast to close out the month, could be +4.2 or 4.3.
  9. TimB
    Oof. If that’s where we are as of 2/14, and even if it quickly reverses after that, there are 4, maybe 5 at most, weeks left where snow would be viable.
  10. TimB
    It seems we’re running out of time yet again. Looks warm after the suppressed storm next week and it’ll be mid February before anything could even possibly flip, which is still not a guarantee. The past, present, and future weather at this juncture is, indeed, soul crushing.
  11. TimB
    Remarkably, the majority of that January 1978 precip fell as snow. 6.25” of precip and 40.2” of snow that month, for the snowiest January and 3rd snowiest month on record. Also looks like we’ve set yet another daily precip record, our 3rd since Christmas. With 150+ years of records, we’d be expected to get less than 3 of those per year, and now we’ve had 3 in about a month.
  12. TimB
    I know it’s just the Canadian, but LOL. 982mb low in a great spot in early Feb and the entire precip shield is rain.
  13. TimB
    November 1950 and other similar storms also had tremendous amounts of cold air that they were able to tap into, so they didn’t result in two days of snow with temperatures hovering at or just above freezing.
  14. TimB
    Nevermind. Duh. November 1950.
  15. TimB
    Can someone come up with storm that’s taken a similar track? I’m striking out.
  16. TimB
    I’m sure he’d post record lows if we ever got those too. But I agree, record highs and warm lows are less interesting now that we get at least one a month.
  17. TimB
    That weird thing the storm does at the end of the Euro would be nice and give us lots of snow, but isn’t really plausible.
  18. TimB
    How do we know that the location where DCA is now didn’t hit 80 in January 1374?
  19. TimB
    I’ve read enough here to have seen plenty of bitching about how hot MDT’s obs is compared to literally anywhere nearby, whether it’s night, day, summer, winter, whatever.
  20. TimB
    I’m contradicting climate changer’s thoughts here, not agreeing with them.
  21. TimB
    Let’s put that to rest: PWS in the Harrisburg area seem to be consistently 48-50, consistent with MDT’s obs.
  22. TimB
    Isn’t MDT consistently one of the hottest places in central PA?
  23. TimB
    Whoa, back the damn truck up. They moved to discord because of some stuff in the off topic circus that got dragged into their thread, involving one poster and one staff member in particular.
  24. TimB
    The -50% snowfall is for Sept-Nov (early season snow). In theory, in a place like Des Moines, a loss of most of their fall snow could really eff their seasonal totals.
  25. TimB
    Had a feeling we’d overperform big time. Looks like our high today will be 64.
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