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TimB

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About TimB

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KPIT
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Pittsburgh, PA

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  1. TimB
    A bit cherry picked, as we’ll have lows above freezing next week, but the only day in 2025 that PIT has had a low above freezing was 1/31. This will be the only calendar year on record that has had 53 out of 54 lows <= 32 from 1/1 through 2/23.
  2. TimB
    Plausible deniability. Since the temp/precip obs are taken at the airport and the snowfall measurement is done at the NWS office a few miles away, it’s possible that there was no measurable snow at the office between 7pm and midnight.
  3. TimB
    I find it hard to believe that the NWS recorded zero measurable snow between their 2.6” obs at 7pm and their daily climo report at midnight, considering there was about an hour with one mile visibility, but that’s what is being reported.
  4. n9wiff started following TimB
  5. TimB
    Interesting that 81% of GEFS members have measurable rain Wednesday, but the NWS is rolling with a dry forecast for the entire period.
  6. TimB
    I wonder what the record is for most consecutive above normal months at PIT. I know we had that stretch from February 2016-July 2017 where we had 18 straight above normal months, though a few of those would now be considered below normal according to the 1991-2020 normals.
  7. TimB
    The highlighted is not a date you want to see in the 8-14 day analogs if you like fall weather:
  8. TimB
    Interesting to note that of the 10 streaks of 21+ days of zero measurable precip that Pittsburgh has recorded, 9 of them happened at least partially in fall. The only exception happened in May/June 2023. So fall months can be incredibly dry around here, but there’s always tropical remnants to give us hope.
  9. TimB
    Was looking at that this morning. There have been entire GFS runs that show exactly zero qpf through 384. Not just a one off, it seems every other run for the past few days has depicted this. I think the over is a safe bet in this scenario, but model runs depicting zero precip for 16 days are incredibly rare around here.
  10. TimB
    That streak looks to continue for at least another week, maybe longer. They have recorded exactly two below normal days in that span, both in August but not consecutive. This forum would spontaneously combust if any eastern locale recorded 98 above normal days out of 100.
  11. TimB
    That said, I can also see the other side, that PA is in a stretch of fantastic early fall weather and fretting over what is or what used to be (perceived or actual) is secondary to the absolutely perfect weather now and for the foreseeable future. You could also make the “who the hell wants to wake up to 25 degrees in August” argument, even if it wasn’t ever that cold imby or yours.
  12. TimB
    Oh I’m not running away from the intent of my original post, as it’s pretty obvious what I’m getting at and the data bear it out pretty well. I’m a little more concerned that you’re using one rogue day in March almost 40 years ago to refute the fact that fall comes later than it used to.
  13. TimB
    It used to get into the 20s in Bradford in August (1982 and 1968 also got to 26 and 29 respectively on the same date, so it wasn’t just a one off), and now we’re marveling at mid to upper 30s in early September, which, Blizz is right, are pretty rare these days. 36 on or before September 3 has occurred in: 1958, 1963, 1964, 1965, 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1971, 1972 (yep, that’s 9 years out of 10), 1976, 1979, 1981, 1982, 1984, 1986, 1988, 1992, 1993, 1994, 1997, 1998, 2000, 2001, 2004, and 2009. So break that down into 3 equal periods: 1958-1979: 12 of 22 years got to 36 on or before 9/3 1980-2001: 12 of 22 years got to 36 on or before 9/3 2002-2023: 2 of 22 years (and none of the last 14) got to 36 on or before 9/3 Oh, and your March record high on 3/30/86. It was matched in 2012, a full week earlier in the spring season. (But you knew this.)
  14. TimB
    Bradford’s AVERAGE first freeze 1957-2000: 9/16 Bradford’s EARLIEST first freeze 2001-present: 9/16 (average this century is 10/2)
  15. TimB
    It’s not days of yore, when BFD reached a low of 25 on 8/29/86, but it’ll do.
  16. TimB
    2017 comes to mind. Here was the CPC outlook for that above-normal September. Oof.
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