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Everything posted by Bigbald
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I wonder who won the battle of the flow snow between Snowshoe and Beech/Sugar Mtn? Models were spitting out ridiculous numbers at SS in the run up but I'd be shocked if they were higher than what Beech ended up. I've heard reports from 16 inches upwards of more than two feet, But with all that wind who knows.
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2023-2024 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
Bigbald replied to The Alchemist's topic in Southeastern States
It is, I am in banner right now. Pouring powder. -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
Bigbald replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
There is a thin line of a flizzard that is causing havoc on the roads, I am guessing the front pushing through and squeezing out the last remaining moisture. It is nearly parrellel to I 81. -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
Bigbald replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
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January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
Bigbald replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Hard for me to wrap my brain around 10 more hours of light snow like rgem/hrrr show with the lee side for swva upper east TN. Has any meso model not shown it? -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
Bigbald replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Not sure if WCYB decided to quit forecasting over the winter warning criteria or what. They've been sitting on 3-6 inches for upper East TN for awhile now. Like another poster stated, not sure it really matters. -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
Bigbald replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
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January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
Bigbald replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Interesting, did not know that. -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
Bigbald replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
It's like that blob of yellows and orange on radar scope is just sitting on morristown. Impressive! -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
Bigbald replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
This is kind of trivial but I am curious to understand one thing from the vets on here. For those of us in the east we were really interested in the low placement off NC. The track is projecting a near perfect northwest turn, almost slightly inland, but we don't appear to be getting the northwest flow wrap around (?) at the tailend of the storm that the gfs and cmc showed with this track. For those with the experience, Is the absence of the backend flow due to the result of popping the lee side low? -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
Bigbald replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Gatlinburg really getting it good on radar -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
Bigbald replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Bigbald replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
12z gfs says let's do this again. Would be incredibly high snow ratio.- 1,263 replies
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January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
Bigbald replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
For SWVA folks, Look at the agreement on the NAM and RGEM for the communities of Duffield/Jasper/Big Stone Gap. -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
Bigbald replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Looked like NAM pretty much painted all southwest va with 8-13 inches kuchura, high knob lolli pop. -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
Bigbald replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
This little corridor has been showing up a big winner across multiple model runs here and there, and of course on the RGEM over and over again. I hate to even bring it up because I am in it. -
January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Bigbald replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah thats nice, wow- 1,263 replies
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January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
Bigbald replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Have been consumed with watching the first wave but seems like 12z suites are baby stepping the low more northwesterly up the east coast. Would love to see some bonus backend high ratio snow for east tn -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
Bigbald replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
12z cmc looking very interesting with the turn NW at the end, that's close to a big dog run -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
Bigbald replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
RGEM rock solid run over run. Would be east TN best case scenerio. -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
Bigbald replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
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January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
Bigbald replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
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January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
Bigbald replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Alot less qpf over a greater area and a southern sag, and a much less northwest trajectory. Really kind of dramatic between 0z and 12z considering the small amount of time. -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
Bigbald replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Alot more easterly out to sea on the gfs. I thought we had settled that! -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
Bigbald replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Not sure I'd sweat it too hard. Rgem loses the flow for like a 6 hr panel at hour 67. It looks like an error to me since prior runs don't disconnect like that and it picks right back up at like hour 72ish. Would be a good hit for JC