Bigbald

12z cmc has some areas in Tennessee valley snowing for 30 plus hours!

I am sure nobody will be looking at the 12z suite :). This feels like something big is brewing for somebody in the southeast. I'll be interested to see how the models hone in on timing, 6z gfs sees it starting 18z thursday, last night cmc had it Tuesday midnight.

I wish I could bet money on the cmc sniffing this out. It's crazy to think we are basically 5 days out from this event.

Dissapointing here in Tri but really appreciate all the disco provided. Sure seems like the RGEM is money in meso world. I don't have validation scores at hand but it really seems to nail the short horizon once it locks in on a trend.

One battle that is brewing is cmc vs gfs, which at this point is prolly a fruitless endeavor, but man they are miles apart at 0z on qpf.

12/18z Nam and 12z gfs killer runs for east tn. Hopefully happy hour gfs agrees

John, how the heck do you stay awake for like 72 hours at a time?

Looks like some decent returns showing up in Hawkins County moving back in to Sullivan.

Has been pixie dusting snow in Wise (swva) all morning. It doesn't show up but on the most sensitive radars. More visible returns in east ky. No real snow melt up here and I don't think there will be much.

GFS big dog run for the forum when Kuchera

Totally shocked this a.m. to see about an inch in kingsport

Hard to beat the track of the 0z cmc and 0z gfs for east tennessee, even if models are showing slightly lessening qpf at the moment.

Shew, hard to imagine that NAM run would not have been widespread 6-12 per visual duration left..

The cold leading up to this event is pretty stellar, check out Wise, va..barely making it to 25 degrees, won't be a wasted flake on that ground.