bobbutts

Flipped to snow in the last 20 mins or so.

Rain here. Family came over from 10 mins away and reported 1/2" of slushy accumulation where they came from.

Had a few minutes of pea sized hail there. Just a bit of lighting.

that is a few blocks from the tdwr site! Crazy detail

Sorry to hear that. Are they too young to remember Katrina? Maybe have them read up on that.

It wouldn't take much to exceed Charley in surge for that area. It wasn't a factor. Milton is a lock to exceed the surge and unlikely reach the same type of wind damage in Port C/PG.

It is an extrapolation which ignores all other factors besides previous motion. Not intended to be a forecast.

extrapolating the recent radar movement would bring it just up the north side of the bay

Pretty impressive radar image there

Truck tire rolling down the gulf.

Watching a potentially bad surge situation approach a large low elevation population give me Katrina vibes. Having lived in SW FL I know there plenty of stubborn and complacent people who will stay in risky areas too.