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mannynyc

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Everything posted by mannynyc

  1. There is not much point model hugging this close to the storm, but the 12Z HRRR is East
  2. The models are just doing a very bad job with this system. Someone is going to bust hard and someone is going to overperform.
  3. If you thought this has been bad for us in NY, don't forget about Boston. Might go from 6-12 to 1 to 3.
  4. HRRR is West, breaking the trend. Doesn't really help NYC though.
  5. The OP Euro is also on the eastern edge of its own ensemble
  6. The OP Euro is also on the eastern edge of its own ensemble
  7. RGEM is showing a very different storm than the Euro and GFS. The low is significantly west. Just because it shows rain for the city doesn't mean it is the same storm.
  8. GEFS vs OP GFS. Laughable. What a terrible model.
  9. RGEM goes east. Its track is similar to the NAM but it is significantly warmer.
  10. It's more of a middle ground between the 12z Nam and the 12z Euro.
  11. A 6 inch+ event for NYC was never really likely. I still think we see some accumulations, 1-3 being very likely, and don't think 3-6 is totally out of the question.
  12. NAM is farther east than 12z but still west of other models. I don't think this is the final solution but I think it does a good job.
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