mannynyc
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Everything posted by mannynyc
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There was no snow in Central Park in December. The snow missed Manhattan north and south.
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The HRRR has flipped every other run. Very odd.
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GFS is north for Wednesday. Now gives the city a whole half inch
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A nice burst of snow in Manhattan right now. A little stickage on umbrella’s means that this is our biggest snowfall of the season.
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For the record, I'm in lower manhattan and we got nothing that day.
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I was at Mountain Creek yesterday and conditions were bad, good amount of people though. Lots of slush.
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GEFS ensembles don't look terrible for a snow chance Wednesday. i don't think it's right to write this one off.
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The GEFS has trended north, with most ensembles showing a period of snow on Wednesday. Temperatures would likely be cool enough to break our snowless streak in Central Park.
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Similar on 18z
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GEFS ensembles do show a shot for snow Wednesday.
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The NAM is drunk again.
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I’m not as optimistic as you are. Ensembles aren’t as optimistic as I would like. There is some support, and the next 10 days are definitely our best opportunity.
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Looking at the GEFS ensembles. It seems we still have a chance for some kind of overunning/backend or even a light to moderate snow event between January 31st and February 3rd. February 1st: February 2nd: February 3rd:
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0z GFS is still a miss but is slightly farther north than 18z GFS for January 31st.
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Not a bad look for January 31st/February 1st from the 12z GEFS ensembles.
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Totally agree. We have three shots in February (1st, 3rd and 6th). If we don’t get it then we can seriously start talking about a snowless winter.
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Snow/rain mix in Woodside, Queens.
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Just two days ago he was complaining about the GFS caving to the Euro. I had to point out to him that it was actually showing more snow. It definitely wasn't accuracy.
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Totally agree. 20 miles is the difference. Someone in this thread is going to get surprised tomorrow with some nice front end snow.
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0z NAM looks to be slightly south with snow. Still doesn’t snow in the city.
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I’m not hopeful we will get measurable snow tomorrow but I’m not as pessimistic as some people. There will be cold air in place, and a change in just 20 miles could be the difference between snow and rain. This is not a situation where snow is missing us 100 miles north, Also, it’s just more fun to be optimistic.
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That's the same depth as 18z. There is no cave.
