mannynyc
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Everything posted by mannynyc
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The last hurrah? Putting all the eggs in the Tuesday 3/14 basket
mannynyc replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
No matter what happens TV mets are going to get some crazy calls Wednesday and Thursday -
GEFS looks pretty good
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The CMC follows the RGEM and moves the low West
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12z Icon snowmap
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The RGEM is an outlier with the low coming to shore much farther West than pretty much every other model. That’s the big difference and why we get more rain.
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Euro still looks good
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UKMET bomb
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Good be worse
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Another double barrel low on the GFS
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GFS still having feedback issues. Too many debby downers on this forum.
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Big differences between the P-type map and 500MB vorticity on the Euro. Models are struggling with this storm.
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Double barrel low on the Euro
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GEFS ensembles look great though
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Trends are good but things still need to go perfectly for the City to really get in. This is by far our best chance of the year.
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Long range NAM is a joke.
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240 hour Canadian bomb? At this point, why not.
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Not ideal but not terrible on the 0z GEFS
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The low over NYC screams rain for the Metro
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18z 3k NAM is signficantly colder in the City compared to 12z. Someone could be in for a surprise, but I wouldn’t hold my breath.
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Beautiful. Someone should frame it.
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GFS is the only outlier and it always seems to be overamped. Oh well. On to the next storm
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Way better looks from the GEFS compared to 12Z
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Dynamic cooling. It never got below 33 the storm a few weeks ago and we still got two inches.
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NYC's best shot looks to be early Saturday morning when the coastal low starts to take over. Depending on the model, rain should become snow in the city between 3 and 6AM, continuing until 10AM. This shift should happen a couple hours earlier in New Jersey, Upstate NY and Connecticut.
