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SnowenOutThere

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Everything posted by SnowenOutThere

  1. What the heck! The NAM was wrong?! Legit crying and shaking right now. /s
  2. Officially the first major hurricane of the season
  3. Grace finally has an eye, the first proper one of the season.
  4. Its all in New england's thread main tropical one is abandoned.
  5. What I was thinking when satellite came out this morning, it look as if the convection was nearly entirely out of the convection. So it might be good to slow the hype train for a bit.
  6. Going to be a shock for sure, they probably think at worse it might be a nor'easter which wont end well if this storm sticks to the high end of intensity guidance.
  7. That would be a super impactful track, New York would probably have lots of flooding concerns and some wind ones too. Like I said yesterday not time to panic yet though.
  8. Almost all of the strong ones are a hit, if I lived from New York to Bostin I would be concerned but its not time to panic yet still plenty of time for the track to shift.
  9. Remember if the model is the snowest/windiest one then it must.
  10. It will be interesting to see what happens during the regular convection blowup at night.
  11. Welcome to the cult I mean club.
  12. In place where those storms would move through, after a shower the sun is now peaking out.
  13. Think I’m crazy but this feature has been here for 30 minutes with convection wrapping around so think this might be a legit eye?
  14. If we are looking for where an eye would be I think I found it, the lightning on the band would be the eyewall trying to wrap around. Seems like it’s just a matter of time before an eye forms.
  15. Well if Fred does take an more eastern track you could get something this week.
  16. Its radar look reminds me of a nor easter.
  17. Ok makes sense but what about air pressure? That happens on a large enough scale where I would assume it has some effect, maybe if a fault is already about to go off in a year or two but a sudden change in air pressure happens it can cause that release to happen soon after the change in air pressure.
  18. Obligatory I think it’s an eye comment
  19. I have read a book that had a section on this years ago can't remember it but it shows that this has happened in different places before. I think the book said how maybe the large amount of rain and flooding can put stress on faults leading to a slightly higher chance of earthquakes.
  20. There is no way if we look at Ir satellite that this thing gets North of Puerto Rico, another day another Fred.
  21. After looking at several posts about where the true center is I thought I would try to define where it is. In the green I think is where the true center is with the latest convection blowup, I think this because in the blue we can see where the banding spirals out of meaning the center would be where the green circle is. This is only a guess due to the "junk convection" in orange which obscures where the true center is exactly.
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