On the drive back from the catoctins there definitely seemed to be a fall off in snow amounts just past ashburn on I-15, glad you managed to get into that. Personally got to. .75 without the ending bands accounted for yet, hoping to clinch an inch.
On the drive it started snowing well near point of rocks before really ripping from mid Fredrick county onwards, only started sticking when I got to the trail though.
Briefly had some white rain in Reston as a batch of yellows came through even with the temp at 37. Bodes well for when rates improve later today but I’m heading out to the catoctins now.
Thinking I'll go on a hike near the catocotins late morning today to try to ensure no matter what happens in the low lands I'm able to have a nice winters day.
Seems like I live in nearly the exact same spot you used to, will say what you said about the two snowfall "jumps" still holds up. Despite being right next to Dulles distance wise they always seem to do significantly better in these setups than my backyard. Though I do wonder if that second jump in snowfall will continue to move further northwest over time...
So would you say out by Reston is closer to the 3-6 zone than the 1-3 south of I-66 one your forecast had? Just had a little bit of trouble figuring out where each zone reached from your forecast, but either way its always awesome to have actual mets provide input in these threads!
Theres a northern shortwave that wasn't there on the 0z run as well. Im not sure what will happen but it is a different variation than 0z, which makes sense