SnowenOutThere

What exactly are radar hallucinations. Are they just the radar showing snow but it does not reach the ground?

40 degrees in the sun here in Western Fairfax around 12 hours till the storm starts.

Well it has made a tornado so thats something

VS

It looks like a much better tuck in

Oh boy lets hope the low gets tucked in further south and follows the RGEM.

Hey when will the 12z Euro come in to either verify or crush our dreams of a major snow storm. Quote Edit Options

Hey when will the 12z Euro come in to either verify or crush our dreams of a major snow storm.

Nice model run

Yeah you can't do anything with those amounts. Not even Warning amounts.

Helps when I don't make it and gives us 2016 blizzard amounts.

That is what could happen if we get a band

The other shorter term models tend to have a pretty good thump in the beginning on Sunday so that part of the storm looks good anywhere from 3-6 looks likely and that on it's own is great for our area and anything on top of that is a bonus.

I miss typed sorry. I meant to sat that the 1st part of the storm would be within 24 hours but the second part that everyone is a bit annoyed at would happen in 40-60 hours from now which means the models can mess with us even more.

The 1st part is the Monday is around 48 hours out and the possible banding Monday night is 60 hours out plenty of time.

I know, my bar for this storm was 5 inches of snow and we got to look at all of the model runs. The Euro gives the whole area 8-12 inches of snow the NAM gives it 6 it still looks like a major snowstorm for us and in DC major is more than 4 inches of snow. Also we might have an ice storm so that's something. I also don't understand why this whole thread is in a bit of a panic we did the same thing yesterday and then it switched right back. It is two to three days out we are fine, it might even have us in the bullseye by Sunday. The models are going to be jumpy this far out, not to mention the snow is setting up in heavy bands which will keep jumping around until the day of. Even then even if the whole second part misses we still get 2-5 inches of snow.

Guys we got greedy, lets just be happy that all of the models agree we get 3-6 inches of snow. Enough to look nice and cover the grass. Also this is for Sunday one of the rare times when the ground is frozen so it will stick. This happens almost every time with a Miller B but there is time for it to shift back to us it is still two-three days out.

Hey what does everyone think of the HRRR model 00z run with it running to 7pm Sunday. It seems to bring in the mix pretty quick but the coastal low seems to form pretty quick near the outer banks which is good for the second part of the system.

I just found whatever I could on google. Though good point. I will find a better one shouldn't be that hard.

I just like the weather and forecasting like everyone else here.