WXNewton
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Something about that map just looks off, kind of looks like my 2 year old started coloring on it.
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improvements with precip but looks warm, it's a delicate balance.
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Low back over gulf this run, but man that thing looks ragged!
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hr 21 that low over Arkansas is 3 mb weaker than 18z maybe that will help.
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During the height of the precip it's colder too.
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How did the HRRR do on the upper level storm that went down east a week or so ago?
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Like throwing a dart blind folded.
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Yes much improved over 18z
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Just a few hours later it's snowing good though and the run looks better than 18z.
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Nothing like a good ole 50+ degree snowstorm, the latest hrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr is running a little on the warm side.
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I don't know much about the ICON, but that sucker has been rock stead on its output, it's either really right or really wrong!
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Still a pretty big difference between RGEM and 12km NAM, here's hr 36 and hr 39.
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The High over the NE built in a touch further south this run compared to 12z. Just small details at this point not really much more to go off of.
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Actually trended a here further south and looked a little weaker.
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And the RGEM says hold up a minute!
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Of courses it crushes Central NJ to NYC
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That low in TN is killing us.
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Seems like the biggest trend is the low over TN wants to hang on longer which is wrecking the midlevels. Then the energy jumps to the east when the low takes over on the coast. Maybe I missing something but this can't be good.
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At least it improved from 12z lol!
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That energy in TN seems to be ramping up more and more each run, I think that has cause it to slow down some and separate from the front end thump.
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Out to hr 48 and Euro looks more in line with RGEM and Canadian.
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UKMET shifts heaviest snowfall right up against the escarpment.
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I wouldn't give up on this one just yet, but anything frozen to me right now will be a win.
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Catawba County as well.
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The 12z trend is to cut totals on eastern edge and move heaviest accumulations right up the escarpment from NE GA into VA
