Last 3 Rap models are increasing moisture and totals slowly back here in the west. It's not much but when you are at rock bottom already anything positive gives us hope. Also has about 4 hrs of snow on Thursday morning that is dropping another 1/2" or more.
Brad P. Says that the lull in precip back here in the West is due to the low pressure basically jumping to the east coast and transferring the best lift and energy to the east for the coastal to take over.
It's hard for me to believe that we won't have some moisture develop once the energy sneaks up and under the SW MTNS. I can't recall a storm tracking across the N.Gulf with a good look shield of precip that just dries up as it moves east. The models obviously see something, but still it's hard for me to believe.
Op
Yeah the places that are seeing the biggest increase right now seems to be in TN and KY, N. MIss, spine of the APPs and some of WNC. The northern part of the QPF increased some and stayed stronger longer.
The other thing to mention on the EPS is the trend to develop some backside banding with the upper low as it pivots through. Like several other models this piece of energy is starting to develop more and more on the backside of the storm.
The biggest change that I noticed on the EPS is the moisture in TN and KY really tried to ramp up some. If this piece of the storm trends back stronger and stronger each run, maybe it leads to more of a front end thump for WNC?
Euro was better for some MTN counties as well as parts of TN and KY. The northern part of the storm produced a little more precip this run and held on longer before dying out.