WXNewton
-
Posts
573 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by WXNewton
-
Come on NAM!! I wouldn't at all be shocked for it to suck us all back in.
-
Thunder popping in Catawba County, just shook the whole house.
-
Interesting that 12z ICON shows main low tracking across the gulf again and not cutting on us. The wedge didn't build in quick enough, but this shows models still have some figuring out to do.
-
That's what I was saying last night, the RGEM shows more of a traditional CAD look back here in NW Piedmont and foothills.
-
You would think in this setup with the wedge building in as the precip moves in from the south that most places would stay all freezing rain once they get locked in. I am not sure I buy any warming up besides the latent heat released.
-
RGEM does the same thing as the NAM and builds the wedge back in later in the day.
-
RGEM looked more like your typical wedge with colder temps back in the NW Piedmont compared to the NAM that was more east based wedge.
-
During his 5 o'clock news and yes he had a couple videos on FB too.
-
Also saw Brad P. in house model tonight and it had almost all of NC in Freezing rain and dropped temps in HKY to 31. It was definitely interesting and seems like other guidance is not too far off from what he was showing. He also seemed a little more excited about a legit ice threat.
-
Just makes me wonder about Mon/Tuesday storm after watching the trends today. Do we see the same thing happen with that storm as we get closer with the wedge showing up a little stronger each run and pushing deeper to the south?
-
Yep definitely trended further south with temps and precip. The wedge dug down more in the eastern part of NC this run.
-
18z Nam colder and more freezing rain for Saturday.
-
Totally agree, I remember a storm in Jan of 2016 where models were trying to run the low right through the wedge particularly the GFS. A day or so just before the storm it started going with the other guidance and running it around the wedge and redeveloping on the coast. I think the Nam may do well with this storm once we get in that time frame.
-
Euro definitely made a step in the right direction, not far off from a major ice storm. I would put it more in the ICON, Para GFS, Canadian UKMET category but also the warmest of those, still closer to a major storm than GFS.
-
hr 120 Raleigh is about 3 degrees colder CLT is around 1 or so than 00z
-
Also the hole on the para in the NC foothills is quite a bit of sleet.
-
12z Canadian more in line with Para GFS
-
Yeah something doesn't seem right about that. I believe if it does run north toward TN it should be like hitting a wall and go under wedge and redevelop on the coast. I would say that this is going to need a few days to be resolved.
-
12z GFS can't get the high out front fast enough and it's weaker, looks a lot like last nights Euro.
-
The high stays in a pretty decent position for most of the storm and is right over the heart of NE snow pack, I assume the feed of cold air stays locked in and transporting NE winds over temps in the single digits and teens.
-
The southern fringes of the wedge warmed up some from 00z but in the heart of the CAD region temps stayed pretty close to 00z. Low did track toward the APPs this run and Miller-B around the southern edge of the wedge to the coast.
-
12Z ICON looks like it could be setting up for something nice, HP moving to the east in conjunction with low pressure over the gulf. If the high can build in first and stay out in front it should be a big run.
-
12Z RGEM coming in colder from 6z and colder than 12z NAM
-
Thanks, lets see what the NAM says.
-
Did freezing rain make it into the Catawba Valley area?
