coastal front

Not only is the nam not backing down but it’s still ticking west.

That map is a carbon copy of the 12 euro

Gust of 72 reported at ACY. Nasty out

I still think we have plenty of time to bring this thing back. We don’t need whole scale changes 200 miles west with no mechanism to induce it. It’s literally just comes down to the phasing and interactions of both the upper low and southern stream. 90 hours out is an eternity in this set up.

Man to see the euro, eps , Canadian, and ukie all showing a big storm how can’t you get excited? No doubt in my mind we see the gfs, icon and AIFS trend better. Legit all the top models show it while the lesser models don’t and that’s for a reason.

Yeah my bad!

Typical model bias at play with the amped Canadian and the progressive euro. Let’s split the middle and we are all happy.

To be fair tho we haven’t had a tpv dropping down from Canada to phase and capture all year. Every wave that has hit snj and deleware has been a whole different evolution. I’m really confident in a region wide event here. Let’s hope the 0z runs throw us a bone

Absolutely ripping here just outside of Atlantic City. Instant coating.

Euro with a nice nudge north. Canadian and ukie all alone being so far south.

Gfs sheared it out. Let’s split the difference and hit both storms!

Every model finds a way to get to roughly the same outcome differently. Talk about not needing to thread the needle in a pattern like that. Incredible.

Yikes! How does this get overlooked?

No doubt in my mind the degraded look Beryl had for much to the day was more due to a ERC and now that it looks complete she’s looking better and better. Such an unpredictable and fascinating storm.

There’s no doubt in my mind the extreme strength of Beryl is adjusting the long range track. Unprecedented start to a possible unprecedented season.