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Chicago916

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Everything posted by Chicago916

  1. Chicago916
    I've still got a feeling the first storm this weekend trends more NW to brush NIL with some moderate snows. That'll then have an effect on larger storm afterwards I would think?
  2. Chicago916
    It would be funny if it verified, but is the CMC trying to resolve a Mesolow over Lake Michigan due to the ULL next Friday? Would be a funny way to transition from near 60F Christmas to 6"+ snow cover on NYE.
  3. Chicago916
    Serious question. What will happen to a MCS (if and when it congeals and moves into NIL) as it barrels into the lake breeze?
  4. Chicago916
    Lake breeze now evident along with the outflow. Once these collide... Boom.
  5. Chicago916
    North moving boundary extremely evident on satellite
  6. Chicago916
    Not sure how well Nadocast does for wind, but definitely has that Derecho look for tomorrow.
  7. Chicago916
    Inb4 Northern Illinois supercells this afternoon.
  8. Chicago916
    And round 2 to follow still in Southeast Minnesota?
  9. Chicago916
    Latest 12z HRDPS showing a look similar to the Chicago double Derecho on June 30, 2014 except further east https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/archive/event.php?date=20140630
  10. Chicago916
    Repeat of today this Friday? Looks interesting at least
  11. Chicago916
    Sirens just started in the city
  12. Chicago916
    Well a lot happened since my post this morning. Sheesh. Finally seeing filtered sunshine downtown Chicago.
  13. Chicago916
    If the MCS dies quicker, still decent potential for severe in NIL, but looks very conditional. 12Z HRRR for example. Will need to watch incoming CAMs to see if they follow, and observations.
  14. Chicago916
    KORD office was riding the HRDPS and it looks like it performed very well with this
  15. Chicago916
    Looks like the European model was upgraded, including adding a lot of extended ensemble runs. Will be interesting to see how it performs!
  16. Chicago916
    He was a fantastic UIUC atmospheric sciences professor!
  17. Chicago916
    Tons of hail in Buffalo Grove right now. Ground is fully covered.
  18. Chicago916
    Long range 03z Rap popping some PDS Tor soundings in Chicago Wednesday morning. Something to monitor
  19. Chicago916
    Very late day 2 convective outlook.
  20. Chicago916
    Would be great if the RRFS comes back online soon in time for the upcoming severe event. Seems to be offline still since Friday
  21. Chicago916
    GFS trending in the direction to add to those
  22. Chicago916
    Has back to back high risks occured at this latitude within 5 days of one another before?
  23. Chicago916
    With how fast these storms are, that's a good idea.
  24. Chicago916
    Latest NWS Chicago update says you might be able to even sit tight in Naperville now that round 1 is more likely to be surface based FYI
  25. Chicago916
    Funny that a large blob of clouds is over the northern High Risk zone. That isn't going to affect the instability there?
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